Week 4 in the NFL is all about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.
David Jones took down the Week 3 Sunday Night Showdown in his second tournament takedown in two days!
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I want to start off this article by saying you must have the absolute nuts to win the top prize up top on large field GPPs. There is no room for mistakes with so many entries in these contests. If you think you are going to win it all by playing a combo of the top seven guys in the player pool, you are not. If a combo of a bunch of guys you have heard of before is indeed the best scoring lineup, you will most likely tie for first. If that sounds good to you, then go for it. It will be profitable if you nail it, but for me I like to be a little different on these slates. I will be making multiple teams and taking long shots on a few cheap guys.
Leaving cash on the table in these NFL DFS contests is fine too. This makes your lineup even more unique and lower owned because a lot of amateurs will be pulling their hair out to use their entire salary.
That all being said, I have looked at every possible player that can get on the field and listed my picks below.
The NFL DFS Week 4 Sunday Night Showdown Picks
MVP: Ezekiel Elliott ($14,000 FD, $17,400 DK)
I know where the Cowboys offense is going to come from and that is Zeke, Dak and Coop. Playing Cowboys’ showdown slates is literally my favorite scenario. All I do is lock in the big three and build around them. Zeke has run for 100 + yard the past two games. He costs $500 less than Alvin Kamara and like him to outscore him straight up. I would expect a lot of ownership on Kamara based on his fantastic game vs. Seattle but he is not my top priority today.
MVP Pivots: Dak, Cooper
Again, I think you lock in all three. If you have multiple lineups get one with each at MVP.
NFL DFS Flex Options:
Listed in order of preference, with price factored in.
- Dak Prescott ($15,500 FD, $11,200 DK) He is the best quarterback in this game. The offense will run through him obviously. Lock him in.
- Amari Cooper ($13,500 FD, $10,200 DK) He has a “sore” ankle but I think he will be just fine. The questionable tag may help suppress his ownership. He has four touchdowns in three games. He is elite and has the better quarterback throwing to him. If you decide you don’t trust his ankle, you have to pick another Cowboys pass-catching option.
- Alvin Kamara ($14,500 FD, $11,800 DK) Stud RB who runs and is utilized in the pass game. If you can fit him, he is an excellent play. I am not sure that he will be on my main just because he will not fit with my top three Cowboys. Do not confuse this with he is a bad play. He is not, I am just picking my poison with Dallas tonight.
- Michael Thomas ($11,500 FD, $9,200 DK) I am surprised that he is not more expensive. He is the Saints top receiver and will be Teddy Bridgewater’s safety blanket.
- Jason Witten ($8,000 FD, $5,800 DK) The price is right to take a shot on Witten. I don’t mind him with Cooper as long as you roster Dak too. If you fade Cooper, I think you have to roster Witten. He will 100% be targeted in the red zone.
- Ted Ginn Jr ($7,500 FD, $4,200 DK) You are going to need a big play out of him to pay off, but with Smith still sidelined he will have an uptick in opportunity.
- Teddy Bridgewater ($13,000 FD, $9,000 DK) Don’t love him tonight but he is the quarterback and will have the ball in his hands half the game.. I think the price is a little high and I worry about Taysom Hill getting in the game when the Saints are in the red zone. Only way I play him tonight is if he fits perfectly.
- Jared Cook ($7,000 FD, $4,400 DK) Nice price for Bridgewater’s check down TE. UPDATE: I would move him slightly ahead of Ted Ginn.
- Devin Smith ($7,5000 FD, $5,200 DK) He is my top WR pivot off Cooper.
- Randall Cobb ($8,500 FD, $7,000 DK) He is is my second WR pivot off Cooper. He costs more than Smith and should have the same opportunity, there for I rank him slightly lower.
- Brett Maher ($9,000 FD, $3,800 DK) Cowboys kicker, better on DK
- Wil Lutz ($9,500 FD, $3,600 DK) Saints Kicker, better on DK
Punt:
- Latavius Murray ($7,000 FD, $3,200 DK) He is a pivot of Kamara (don’t play both)
- Blake Jarwin ($5,500 FD, $1,000 DK) He is a pivot off Witten (don’t play both)
- Taysom Hill ($6,000 FD, $2,600 DK) Cross your fingers and hope the Sean Payton drew something up for him this week. He is the Saints “Swiss Army Knife” and I am surprised we did not see him utilized more last week.
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I like the Cowboys to win this game and I like what I have seen out of Dak lately. He should be able to get right around 300 yards tonight. He has more options to throw to and is more accurate that Teddy B. I don’t have much faith in Bridgewater tonight. He has not surpassed 180 yards in either game this season.
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