David Jones 
Week 3 in the NFL is all about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.
David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here
I want to start off this article by saying you must have the absolute nuts to win the top prize up top on large field GPPs. There is no room for mistakes with so many entries in these contests. If you think you are going to win it all by playing a combo of the top seven guys in the player pool, you are not. If a combo of a bunch of guys you have heard of before is indeed the best scoring lineup, you will most likely tie for first. If that sounds good to you, then go for it. It will be profitable if you nail it, but for me I like to be a little different on these slates. I will be making multiple teams and taking long shots on a few cheap guys.
Leaving cash on the table in these NFL DFS contests is fine too. This makes your lineup even more unique and lower owned because a lot of amateurs will be pulling their hair out to use their entire salary.
That all being said, I have looked at every possible player that can get on the field and listed my picks below.
The NFL DFS Week 3 Thursday Night Showdown Picks
MVP: Derrick Henry ($15,000 FD,$15,900 DK) This is an ugly game and one thing is for certain. Derrick Henry is going to get the rock. I expect the Titans to win this game and Henry is their bell cow. I am also expecting another relatively boring and low scoring Thursday night game. If it is low scoring I think it is mostly because the Jags can’t put any points on the board. If this is the case Henry will be in charge of running the clock out and marching it down the field. Derrick Henry is also the most likely player to get in the end zone.
NFL DFS Flex Options:
- Marcus Mariota ($14,500 FD, $10,000 DK) has looked decent enough in the opening two games. At Cleveland he threw for 248 with three touchdowns while rushing for 24 yards. Against the Colts he threw for 154 and a touchdown while rushing for 32. Jacksonville’s defense is also not really a concern for me. I would rather target them than the Tennessee Titans D. Mariota is also at least used to starting in the NFL, and I can’t say the same for Gardner Minshew.
- Cairo Santos ($9,500 FD, $3,600 DK) If anyone is scoring here it should be the Titans. If it is a low scoring affair kickers tend to outscore more expensive offensive options.
- Leonard Fournette ($13,000 FD, $9,800 DK) The Jags are going to lean heavily on Fournette, especially in the first half of the game. He has gotten an average of 14 rushing attempts in his first two games and six targets in each. I like him better on DraftKings, but with not a lot of options tonight he is a safe play on FanDuel too.
- Delanie Walker ($12,000 FD, $8,200 DK) is probably the best passing target for Mariota. In Week One he scoring two touchdowns on five receptions. In Week Two he had four grabs for 39 yards. We need safe options tonight and Walker is that.
- Dede Westbook ($8,500 FD,$7,400 DK) If the Jags are playing from behind they are going to have to attempt to throw it. Dede disappeared last week but I trust him to have a better game this week. He is a boom or bust player with big play upside.
- D.J. Chark ($12,500 FD, $7,600 DK) He has been the Jags’ breakout receiver this year with a touchdown in each game. He will be more popular than Dede because of this tonight. He may keep proving to be the truth for the Jacksonville offense but he is 4K more than Dede. If you need to save salary, I think you can just go down to Westbrook. I would not play them both in the same lineup tonight unless you stack with Minshew.
- A.J. Brown ($8,000, $5,600 FD) He had three receptions for 100 yards in Week One. In Week Two he slowed down with three receptions for 25 yards. He is not as safe as the higher priced receivers, but this is a showdown slate and we at least know he is a part of the offense.
- James O’Shaughnessy ($5,500 FD, $2,600 DK) He is a dart throw, but on this slate he is a pretty quality one. The Jags should be throwing in the second half and he should get a few targets at least. All he needs is one in the endzone and he is on the winning team.
- Josh Lambo ($9,000 FD, $3,400 DK) He scored seven and eight points in the first two games. Kickers work in low scoring games. I’ll have some shares.
Play light tonight and save up for the week. This game might be ugly.
MonkeyKnifeFight.com Pick
I think Derrick Henry is the highest scoring player in the game. I also expect Minshew to struggle vs this Titans defense in prime time and turn it over a couple times. I do not think Minshew gets a passing touchdown tonight, therefor I will take under 14.5.
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