Week 2 in the NFL is all about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.
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I want to start off this article by saying you must have the absolute nuts to win the top prize up top on large field GPPs. There is no room for mistakes with so many entries in these contests. If you think you are going to win it all by playing a combo of the top seven guys in the player pool, you are not. If a combo of a bunch of guys you have heard of before is indeed the best scoring lineup, you will most likely tie for first. If that sounds good to you, then go for it. It will be profitable if you nail it, but for me I like to be a little different on these slates. I will be making multiple teams and taking long shots on a few cheap guys.
Leaving cash on the table in these NFL DFS contests is fine too. This makes your lineup even more unique and lower owned because a lot of amateurs will be pulling their hair out to use their entire salary.
That all being said, I have looked at every possible player that can get on the field and listed my picks below.
The Picks
MVP: Christian McCaffrey ($16,500 FD; $18,600 DK)
No need to get cute tonight. If it was a full 12 game slate, and I could choose from any RB in the league as my NFL DFS MVP, I still might land on McCaffrey. He is a dual threat running back who gets it done on the ground and through the air. The Tampa defense is nothing to fear. McCaffrey got 128 yards and 10 receptions in the first week for 37.9 FanDuel points. Lock in the stud RB and figure the rest out.
NFL DFS Flex Options: (listed in order of preference)
- O.J. Howard ($11,000 FD; $6,600 DK) Howard is an elite tight end. He is going to have a monster season and it starts tonight. He was targeted five times with four receptions for only 32 yards in Week 1. Don’t let this fool you, he is still a great NFL DFS play. I think Winston focuses more on the short game this week, as opposed to the home run ball where he struggled vs Los Angeles. The Rams were able to pick on the Panthers coverage by throwing a touchdown to TE Tyler Higbee in the fourth quarter. The Buccaneers run game is also something they will want to shy away from, resulting in more passing opportunities. Howard is going to get a couple looks in the red zone, he just needs to come down with one.
- Cam Newton ($15,000 FD; $11,000 DK) He had a poor Week 1 vs a hyped up Rams defense coming off a Super Bowl loss. Forget about that, it’s Week 2 and Cam has a high ceiling when the offense is clicking. If the Panthers are scoring it’s either Cam or Christian. The Tampa Bay pass defense is limited and Cam should be able to air it out on them. If he gets in trouble in the pocket, he can run it. Everyone should know by now I love running quarterbacks. Cam is expensive tonight, but that is because he is one of the safest plays on the board.
- Chris Godwin ($12,500 FD; $8,600 DK) He got the most targets last week with Mike Evans sick and was the Bucs most productive receiver. He led the team in receiver targets, yards gained and touchdowns (one). He is slightly cheaper than Evans and should be more productive again. Evans had to pull himself out of the game several times last week with an illness and I don’t expect him to be 100% this week.
- Curtis Samuel ($10,000 FD, $7,000 DK) He got less targets and yards than D.J. Moore last week, but he is $2,000 less on FanDuel this week. He got less targets than Greg Olsen last week, but Olsen is questionable this week. If Olsen is out bump all the Panthers receivers up. Even if Olsen plays I don’t think he will be 100% and Samuel should step up. We need to save salary on this slate and I will take a shot on Cam Newton’s WR2.
NFL DFS Cheapies
- Peyton Barber ($8,000 FD; $5,400 DK) He is going to get around double digit carries and a few targets out of the backfield. At his price, if he gets in the end zone he will be on the wining team. The Panthers did give up two touchdowns to the Rams Malcom Brown last week which makes me a bit more optimistic about a Tampa RB getting in the end zone.
- Breshad Perriman ($6,000 FD; $4,600 DK) He got five targets last week for two receptions and 10 yards. Not great, but he is capable of a big play as we saw a few times when he was on the Ravens. A cheap guy with big play upside is what you look for on these slates.
- ADDED: Cameron Brate ($7,000 FD; $4,000 DK) Jameis does like to look at Brate in the red zone. With Humphries out of town Brate has upside. He was targeted only twice last week but if you look at last year he averaged almost four targets a game. He finished 2018 with six touchdowns.
- Dare Ogunbowale ($6,500 FD; $2,400 DK) He received six targets out of the backfield last week. If they use him as much again this week all he needs is one big play. A lot of his usage was because the Bucs were behind last week. This is a dart throw, but you may need one today. Better NFL DFS play on DraftKings.
MonkeyKnifeFight.com play
This seems pretty easy. I think Godwin will outscore Evans straight up and if you give me +20 yards I will easily lock that in. I also have Cam over Winston straight up so again giving me +20.5 yards seems like an easy bet. Cam likes to show off (especially at home, during primetime) and he will try his best tonight to make a statement that he is still an elite QB. I don’t necessarily think that, but he is better than Winston.
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