NBA DFS Saturday Night Position Breakdown with DFS Pro David Jones

NBA DFS is all about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with a high upside. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the NBA DFS Picks of Destiny.

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here

IMPORTANT: NBA DFS is completely different than any other sport. Players get ruled out five minutes before games and you HAVE TO BE READY to pivot. I will update this article as close to lineup lock as possible with any big news, but play it safe and stay on top of the news yourself.

I refer to FanDuel pricing today.

2/1 NBA DFS Point Guard

1. Damian Lillard ($10,200 FD) There is plenty of value to lock in some studs this slate. Lillard is on another level right now. While I do expect some emotional let down after the Lakers victory last night, Lillard is on possibly the best run of his career. He is pretty close to “do not fade territory.
2. Trae Young ($9,900 FD) This is another guy that is out of his mind right now and usually underowned. I would have preferred to see him take on Luka (his career rival) for my viewing pleasure, Luka is still dealing with an injury. Trae’s defensive matchup improves dramatically with Luka off the floor, so he is another high quality spend up today in a high scoring game that should stay close.
3. Kyrie Irving ($8,900 FD) He delivered last night and gets an even better matchup tonight. I have no problem locking him in if (if he plays. I have a hunch he might rest, there has been no news of him resting however). Targeting Washington guards is a gold mine. If he is out pivot to Dinwiddie.
4. Dennis Smith Jr. ($3,500 FD) He is the only point guard not injured on the Knicks and is min price. He will be very popular but for good reason. You dont need much from someone min priced (I saw a WinDaily sub, Jonathan, win a major GPP with 18 from Brunson last night). Use him at PG if you need to save salary and nail the other spend up.

Gut Play: Brunson gets his tonight if starting, however his priced got bumped up to 5K. I am almost certainly not playing him, just calling he has the game tonight that everyone expected last night.

2/1 NBA DFS Shooting Guard

1. Bradley Beal ($9,600 FD) The All Star snub is hot right now and his price is reflecting his current performance. If there was not so much value on the slate I would pivot off him, however he is going against the Nets in what should be a high scoring affair. Beal is the star and will be trusted to keep them in this game again. With Washington getting healthy and the Nets coming off a back to back, I think this one stays close making Beal your highest scoring SG.
2. Marcus Smart ($5,800 FD) The matchup isn’t the best on the board but Kemba has been ruled out and Smart is still too cheap.
3. DeAngelo Russell ($7,600 FD) The focal point of the Warriors should get 35+ minutes in a close game (currently -1 point spread). Have him pinned for over 40 FD points, and then some.

2/1 Small Forward

1. Lebron James ($11,000 FD) He had a let down game last night but I will go back to him tonight. I don’t think he gets 60 but I do think he will be the highest scoring SF. If he goes 5X and one of value plays (there are a lot of them) goes 7X+, you just hit value. A common mistake is trying to get 6x from everyone, but when you combine two players and get 6x between them, you are right back in a good position.
2. Dorian Finney-Smith ($4,500 FD) Way underpriced. He should get another 35 minutes here against the Hawks. He gets a usage bump with no Kristaps or Luka. Fantastic spot for DFS.
3. Jaylen Brown ($6,400 FD) No Kemba means more minutes and more usage for Brown. I prefer him over Hayward, but it’s close.

Pivot: Tim Hardaway ($4,900 FD) I always have a hard time playing him because I just don’t trust this guy. However he gets a usage bump tonight with the Dallas having key injuries and goes against his old team the Atlanta Hawks. The price is right for him, but I hate playing him. However, he is not a bad play tonight.

Added: Cam Reddish

2/1 NBA DFS Power Forward

1. Anthony Davis ($10,300 FD) I dont think he gets another 70 FD points again here, but he drops 55 we are looking great (same type of value I mentioned with Bron). Keep an eye on if he is sitting or has a minutes limit. If he is out for “load management” then look to Kyle Kuzma to fill the void.
2. Maxi Kleber ($3,600 FD) No Kristaps and going against the Atlanta Hawks’ weak defense. I am 50/50 on him starting, but either way he should get plenty of time to go 6x min tonight.
3. Daniel Theis ($5,100 FD) Kemba and Kanter are out. I would expect about 30 FD points from him. That works at the price but he is not my favorite play at PF because his upside is limited.
4. John Collins ($7,600 FD) He is steadily producing and will not have to face Kristpas. Hopefully Boban isn’t starting (he shouldn’t). I always feel safe with Collins and the Hawks usually having the highest scoring games on the slate.

2/1 DFS Center

1. Rudy Gobert ($8,700 FD) We target bigs against the Blazers (see Anthony Davis last night).
2. Willie Cauley-Stein ($3,600 FD) With no Kristaps he too gets a huge boost, maybe more than Kleber. Tonight WCS gets his first real time on the court for the Dallas Mavs to show off why they traded for him. I like him a lot.
3. Punt: Boban very high risk, don’t think you need to get there with WCS being priced so low

Added: Thomas Bryant

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None now. I will update when I find something.