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NBA DFS Core Plays And Best Bets Mar. 5

We get a massive eight-game NBA DFS slate for Tuesday night and a lot to comb through. I’ll be breaking down my core plays and favorite value plays. See which game to target and what my favorite bets are for the night. Let us dive in and get to the action.

NBA DFS – Core Plays

Caris LeVert $5,500 – 31.56 DK Points – 5.74 Value Rating

The Cleveland Cavaliers are coming into Tuesday’s game banged up. Caris LeVert should benefit greatly from that and holds a 5.74 value rating, tying him for the second-highest value play. LeVert recorded 14 points, 15 assists, and seven rebounds versus Chicago on Wednesday. This season, without Donovan Mitchell, Caris Levert holds a usage rate of 27.9% while averaging 15.8 points, 4.5 assists, and 2.5 rebounds in games without him.

Make sure you are signed up for our premium plan so you can stay up-to-date in Discord with any last-minute NBA news and any core changes. Get your first week for just $1 using the promo code “DOLLAR” using this link. Find me in Discord under the name “xfreshie” and tag me with any questions.

Tobias Harris $7,200 – 35.50 DK Points – 4.93 Value Rating

The Philadelphia 76ers will be without Tyrese Maxey tonight, boosting up Tobias Harris. While the Brooklyn Nets do challenge power forwards, Harris will have more opportunities tonight to exceed his $7,200 price tag. Harris has averaged 34 minutes in his past five games while recording 19 points, 7.2 rebounds, and 1.8 assists per game. He has had two good scoring performances in his last two games, recording 31 points with 12 rebounds versus Charlotte and then 28 points and five rebounds versus Dallas.

Victor Wembanyama $10,700 – 54.63 DK points – 5.11 Value Rating

Victor Wembanyama gets a huge price jump tonight but for very good reason. He faces a Houston Rocket team that he has already put up monstrous double-doubles again. While he is a walking double-double, he and Luka Doncic make the case to always pay up for them. San Antonio does play at the fourth-highest pace with 105 possessions per game and should force Houston to play quicker. With that, mixed with Wembanyama’s two-game sample versus Houston, the $10,700 price tag is still reasonable to play.

NBA DFS – Top Value Targets

Paul Reed $5,100 – 29.99 DK points – 5.88 Value Rating

Mo Bamba has been getting the starting nod at center for the Philadelphia 76ers but Paul Reed has been making the most of his opportunity. Reed has recorded 29 DK points in back-to-back games now and still gets a price drop. He projects as the top value play with a rating of 5.88 and a projection of 29.99 DK points tonight. Also, he has flirted with the double-double bonus in those two games. While Brooklyn is good at stopping centers from scoring, they are still allowing 14.6 rebounds per game.

Sam Merrill $4,100 – 22.20 DK Points – 5.41 Value Rating

Sam Merrill is coming in at a great price point of $4,100 while the Cleveland Cavaliers are battling some injury news. Donovan Mitchell does remain out for three more games but even Darius Garland and Isaac Okoro have been hit with the questionable tag. Merrill could have a huge opportunity tonight. He has recorded 12 and 21 points in his past two games while playing 25 minutes or more in both. Give him a short-handed team and we may see the value exceed expectations.

NBA DFS – Game To Target

Indiana Pacers (+160) versus Dallas Maverick (-192) – Total 246 Points
Odds and Total Points are taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook.

This is going to be a fast-paced game between two very good teams. We have one huge questionable tag and that is Luka Doncic. He hurt his ankle in Dallas’s previous game and if he is out, Kyrie Irving gets a major boost. We won’t get that news until closer to lock. While Dallas won’t have the greatest value in it, Josh Green stands out at $4,200. While his games haven’t been outstanding, he has been playing consistent basketball and would get a huge boost. However, Doncic will most likely play and bet the top option once again.

On the opposite side, the Indiana Pacers play fast basketball and play it well. Now, Tyrese Haliburton has not been playing to where he should be but is only $9,000 tonight. Pascal Siakam is at $7,700 and has played consistent basketball and we know what exactly we’ll get with him. He has also found success versus Dallas, averaging 21.5 points, 10.5 rebounds, and 3.5 assists in two games. T.J. McConnell is at $5,000 today due to the high total overall but is also coming off of a strong showing where he recorded 41.5 fantasy points. We get better value on the Indiana side and the game calls for high scoring.

NBA DFS – Best Bets

Ausar Thompson over 6.5 Rebounds +115 (bet365)

Ausar Thompson has a solid chance tonight to rack up some rebounds and with a total of 6.5 as his line, our tool has him projected at basically nine rebounds and a 49.83% edge. He has recorded six, seven, and eight rebounds in his past three games. For Miami, they are allowing 7.4 rebounds to opposing forwards per game.

Herbert Jones over 12.5 Points + Assists -120 (Bet365)

Herbert Jones has been scoring better as of late and has hit the 12.5 total just off points alone in four of his last five games. While he didn’t have the best outing in the first meeting versus Toronto, they do tend to allow forwards to score. They currently allow them to average 24.8 points and 4.3 assists per game. In the player prop tool, Jones projects for 16.37 points and assists, sitting at a 31% edge.


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