We’re kicking the week off with a huge nine-game NBA DFS slate. I’ll break down my core plays alongside my favorite value plays. Also, find out which game I’ll be targeting overall for the slate. On top of that, I’ll drop my two favorite bets for tonight’s action while using the brand-new Propbettor tool!
NBA DFS – Core Plays
Jayson Tatum $10,000 – 50.99 DK Points – 5.10 Value Rating
We have a few good pay-up spots tonight but Jayson Tatum has everything pointing towards him as the choice to roll with. Atlanta currently ranks fifth in pace with 104.4 possessions per game. Boston currently sits 20th with 101.2 possessions per game. Right away, a pace boost for Tatum. He averaged 37.2 minutes with 27 points, nine rebounds, and 5.5 assists in two games versus Atlanta. On the defensive side of things for the Hawks, they allow 24.1 points, 7.5 rebounds, and 4.4 assists to the small forward position per game.
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Miles McBride $5,400 – 33.24 DK Points – 6.16 Value Rating
Miles McBride has been a huge part of the New York Knicks offense and now he has another great matchup. McBride will see Detroit who allow guards to average 22.8 points, 6.1 rebounds, and 4.9 assists per game. He averaged 34.5 minutes per game with 14.4 points, two rebounds, and 1.6 assists in his last five games. The Knicks will be in a pace-up spot also as they average 98.8 possessions per game while Detroit averages 103.8.
Coby White $7,500 – 39.82 DK points – 5.31 Value Rating
Coby White has played pretty well since returning from injury. White averaged 14 points, 4.2 assists, and four rebounds per game in his last five. He started four of those five, averaging 34 minutes. He will now face the Washington Wizards. The Wizards allow opposing point guards to average 25.1 points, 9.6 assists, and seven rebounds per game. On top of that, this is another huge pace-up spot as Washington leads the league with 105.9 possessions per game. Chicago currently ranks 23rd with 101 possessions.
NBA DFS – Top Value Targets
Dorian Finney-Smith $4,200 – 26.09 DK points – 6.21 Value Rating
Dorian Finney-Smith has a pretty solid matchup tonight versus Toronto and is only $4.2K. Finney-Smith projects for 26.09 DK points which would exceed his price tag. For good reason, Toronto has been a team to try and pick on. They allow opposing forwards to average 23.3 points, 11.1 rebounds, and 4.3 assists. Dorian Finney-Smith isn’t someone who brings double-double upside but tonight should still benefit him matchup-wise.
Jabari Walker $4,600 – 26.68 DK Points – 5.80 Value Rating
Jabari Walker is coming into some familiar territory tonight facing Houston. In the first meeting, Walker recorded nine points, seven rebounds, and one assist in 23.8 minutes versus Houston earlier this season. He has been playing well off the bench though. He averaged 10.8 points, seven rebounds, and 1.4 assists in his last five games.
NBA DFS – Game To Target
Dallas Mavericks (-375) versus Utah Jazz (+295) – Total 237 Points
Odds and Total Points are taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
We have a large slate and not all of the news has hit us yet. The Dallas Mavericks and Utah Jazz game is one I’ll be targeting. Luka Doncic comes in as the highest-priced player with the highest projection. There are still spots to hit on the Dallas side also if you were to fade Doncic or have low exposure to him. Kyrie Irving is still a solid option with a projection of 48.40 DK points. However, PJ Washington pops off of the chart for Dallas also. He has a value of 5.63 with a projection of 29.27. A solid pairing with Doncic or Irving and also a nice lineup filler.
On the Utah Jazz side, only Lauri Markkanen holds a value above 5.00 with a 5.12. While that isn’t somewhat shocking, I still like the price tag of Collin Sexton and Keyonte George. Sexton sits at $7.5K and George sits at $6.5K. With a total of 237 points, Utah will have to play at the level of Dallas to stay alive in this game. It will run through Sexton and Lauri Markkanen should be able to exceed his value. Their ownership will also come in pretty low as many will avoid the Utah side of this game.
NBA DFS – Best Bets
We have launched the all-new PropBetter tool for our Premium users and you do not want to miss out on it. It covers the main Sportsbooks and allows you to find the edge for player props for each book. It’s a one-stop shop for you so you don’t have to go on a scavenger hunt to find the best place to place your money!
Derrick White over 14.5 Points -115 (DK Sportsbook)
Derrick White has a pretty low point total even with his recent performance and matchup history versus Atlanta this season. White has averaged 18.8 points in his last five games and 18 points in two games versus Atlanta this season. He holds an edge of 12.16% in the PropBettor tool to hit the over tonight.
Darius Garland over 6.5 Assists +100 (DK Sportsbook)
Darius Garland has a good matchup versus Charlotte who have struggled versus point guards with assists. Charlotte is currently allowing nine assists per game to opposing guards. For Garland, he has averaged 5.4 assists in his last five games but this should be a good plus-money prop to go over. The matchup is there for Garland and he holds a 5.38% edge to over tonight.
