Hump day it is and we get an eight-game NBA DFS slate. There will be more to look into and where to find the plays. I’ll break down my core plays alongside my value plays. I’ll go over which game I’m targeting out of the five and why. On top of that, I’ll drop my two favorite bets for tonight’s action while using the brand-new Propbettor tool!
NBA DFS – Core Plays
Domantas Sabonis $10,700 – 54.93 DK Points – 5.13 Value Rating
Domantas Sabonis is a locked double-double bonus player as he now has 50 consecutive. It shouldn’t end tonight as he faces the Toronto Raptors. Sabonis recorded 24 points, 15 rebounds, and 11 assists in their first meeting. On the season, he’s averaging 22 points with 15.4 rebounds per game and 38.4 minutes. The two teams do play at a fast pace which should give Sabonis enough time to hit his value but also exceed it.
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Jake LaRavia $4,600 – 33.40 DK Points – 7.26 Value Rating
Jake LaRavia has been playing some consistent basketball lately and his price tag of $4.6k is one to go after. LaRavia averaged 12 points, 4.4 rebounds, two assists, and 1.8 steals in his last five games, He has increased his season average in that span. He has also scored 12 or more points in four of his last five games. LaRavia should have some good opportunities tonight versus the Golden State Warriors and their second unit. They currently allow power forwards to average 23.4 points and 11.2 rebounds per game.
Tyrese Haliburton $8,900 – 53.68 DK points – 6.03 Value Rating
Getting Tyrese Haliburton right is a challenge at times but versus Detroit, he should be locked in. Haliburton has dipped slightly in his last five games, averaging 16.6 points, 10 assists, and 5.4 rebounds. With him facing the Detroit Pistons, he should get back on track. He has averaged 21.7 points, 13 assists, and three rebounds in three games this season. Indiana continues to play at the second-fastest pace with 105.5 possessions per game. They had 97 possessions in their last game which is something that shouldn’t happen again.
NBA DFS – Top Value Targets
Jordan Nwora $3,800 – 26.73 DK points – 7.03 Value Rating
Jordan Nwora should be in line for some good work versus Sacramento tonight. They are one of the worst teams at guarding the small forward position, allowing them to average 23.6 points, 7.5 rebounds, and 4.7 assists. Nwora has been scoring consistently also as he has scored 12 or more points in his last three games. He averaged 11.8 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 1.2 steals in his last five. Running Domantas Sabonis and Tyrese Haliburton together may be difficult but adding Jordan Nwora to the lineup will help with salary.
Stanley Umude $3,900 – 24.67 DK Points – 6.33 Value Rating
Stanley Umude is projected to get the start once again tonight and if so, his $3.9k price tag is lovely. Umude recorded 10 points, six rebounds, and one assist in 34 minutes Monday versus Boston. He recorded 17.7 DK points. Indiana hasn’t been the best when it comes to guarding the forward position. They’ve allowed 23.1 points, 7.9 rebounds, and 4.6 assists per game. Allow Stanley Umude another 34-minute game and he should be able to top his Monday performance versus a much faster team.
NBA DFS – Game To Target
Sacramento Kings (-625) versus Toronto Raptors (+455) – Total 233 Points
Odds and Total Points are taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
The Sacramento Kings allow games to stay close when they shouldn’t and with a spread of 11 points tonight, I believe this game stays close. Domantas Sabonis is already a no-brainer with his productivity. We can also work in some good value around him, to not go punting for scrubs. Harrison Barnes and Keegan Murray come in pretty affordable for a Sacramento stack. Both players hold values of 5.60 (Barnes) and 5.77 (Murray). While I am a huge fan of De’Aaron Fox, I will be avoiding him tonight.
Not a single Toronto Raptors player comes in above $6.5k. Kelly Olynyk is the highest-priced one at $6.5k. Jordan Nwora pops out as the strongest candidate to be rostered with his 7.03 value rating. Jontay Porter comes in projected for 26.84 points and a 6.71 value rating. Three of the five starters are held under the 5.00 value rating and those are Bruce Brown, Gradey Dick, and Gary Trent Jr.
NBA DFS – Best Bets
We have launched the all-new PropBetter tool for our Premium users and you do not want to miss out on it. It covers the main Sportsbooks and allows you to find the edge for player props for each book. It’s a one-stop shop for you so you don’t have to go on a scavenger hunt to find the best place to place your money!
Domantas Sabonis over 8.5 Assists +116 (FD Sportsbook)
We’ve already broken down Domantas Sabonis versus Toronto with our core plays. He has an edge of 2.6% to hit the over on his assist prop. He’s projected near 8.71. In his first meeting with Toronto, Sabonis recorded 11 assists. He should be able to duplicate his first performance once again tonight.
Isaac Okoro under 14.5 Points + Rebounds -120 (FD Sportsbook)
Isaac Okoro has been struggling to hit this prop lately as he has missed it in his last three games. Okoro is averaging 14 points and rebounds total in his last five overall. Miami is also one of the more difficult teams for guards to face this season. Mixing Okoro’s recent performances and Miami’s defense gives him an edge of 6.64% to hit the under.
