We have a shorter NBA DFS slate on Tuesday with a five-game slate. I’ll break down my core plays alongside my value plays. I’ll go over which game I’m targeting out of the five and why. On top of that, I’ll drop my two favorite bets for tonight’s action while using the brand-new Propbettor tool!
NBA DFS – Core Plays
Luka Doncic $12,500 – 68.46 DK Points – 5.48 Value Rating
Luka Doncic kicks off our core group tonight with a solid matchup versus the San Antonio Spurs. Doncic has seen them three times this season, He averaged 33 points, 11.3 rebounds, and 9.3 assists, almost a walking triple-double. The Spurs make it easy though as they are bad at defending guards. They give up 26 points, 8.6 assists, and 6.6 rebounds per game. Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks are in a slight pace-up spot tonight as the Spurs average 104.8 possessions per game.
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Derrick Lively II $4,000 – 22.08 DK Points – 5.52 Value Rating
Continuing with the Dallas Mavericks stack, Derrick Lively II comes in at a great price point of $4,000. Lively finally got back on track during the last game where he recorded 14 points, eight rebounds, and two blocks versus Denver. Now he has a nice matchup versus San Antonio. The Spurs continue to struggle versus centers as they allow them to average 27.1 points and 16 rebounds overall per game.
Franz Wagner $7,100 – 38.04 DK points – 5.36 Value Rating
The Charlotte Hornets and Orlando Magic game may be on the slower side for tonight’s slate, but we still have some good targets like Franz Wagner. Wagner has a solid matchup versus Charlotte. They struggle versus forwards and allow them to average 22.9 points, 7.4 rebounds, and 5.1 assists per game. Franz Wagner has averaged 16.2 points, 5.6 rebounds, and 3.2 assists per game in his last five. The two teams have met this season and Franz averaged 19 points, five rebounds, and two assists. At $7,100, Franz Wagner offers a solid upside.
NBA DFS – Top Value Targets
Jock Landale $4,400 – 23.54 DK points – 5.35 Value Rating
Jock Landale is another solid center option that doesn’t cost the house. Landale averaged 8.8 points, four rebounds, and 2.6 assists in his last five games. While his numbers haven’t been eye-popping, he found success versus Washington. He recorded 13 points, five rebounds, and one assist in his first meeting versus Washington. Houston will see a pace-up boost as Washington continues to lead the league in possessions with 106.1 per game.
Tre Jones $5,600 – 27.98 DK Points – 5.00 Value Rating
Tre Jones is tiptoeing the value line but at $5,600 and what he has done in his last three games, it is hard to look past him. Jones has recorded 42.3, 30, and 32 DK points in his last three games. He averages 32.7 minutes per game with 11.2 points, 7.8 assists, and 4.6 rebounds in his last five. The Dallas Mavericks have shown they can slack versus points guards as they allow them to average 24.1 points, 8.9 points, and 6.6 rebounds.
NBA DFS – Game To Target
Dallas Mavericks (-375) versus San Antonio Spurs (+295) – Total 234 Points
Odds and Total Points are taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
This matchup has the highest total out of the five games on today’s slate and the San Antonio Spurs will be pushing the Dallas Mavericks to their max. The Spurs currently hold the third-fastest pace in the league with 104.8 possessions per game while Dallas sits at 103.5. Mixing that with some of the price points in this matchup and we’re set. Luka Doncic comes in at top dollar once again with his price tag of $12.5K but he projects for 68.46. Victor Wembanyama comes in at $10.6K but projects for 53.03 DK points. With just a flat 5.00 value rating, he isn’t the best to target. Doncic is the one to pay up for with his triple-double ceiling.
The value comes in at a few different places. First up is our core piece, Dereck Lively II, which is a great value play at $4K. Tre Jones is also in play at $5.6K with a projection of 27.98 DK points. Even Julian Champagnie can provide salary relief at $3.8K with a projection of 19.40. With the pace of play by both teams and the total points projected, this game should be an easy one to target for the pay-up spots and salary savings.
NBA DFS – Best Bets
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Tre Jones over 10.5 Points -106 (FD Sportsbook)
I have already talked about Tre Jones in the value section but his prop total of 10.5 points is one to go after. Jones has averaged 11.2 points per game in his last five games. He has averaged 9.7 points in three games versus Dallas so far this season. With the Mavericks allowing 24.1 points to the point guard position, Tre Jones should be able to reach his point total of 10.5 tonight.
Franz Wagner over 22.5 Points + Assists -110 (DK Sportsbook)
Franz Wagner has a solid matchup versus the Charlotte Hornets and this is someone we have already covered. The Hornets currently give up 22.9 points and 5.1 assists per game to the forward position. Wagner has averaged 19 points and two assists in the two meetings versus Charlotte this season. He has dropped points in his last five games, averaging just 16.2 per game. This is the perfect bounce-back spot for scoring for Franz Wagner.
