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MLBMA Daily Notes 5.24.19 SEA at OAK

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OFFENSE

SEA vs RHP, Road (Last 14 Days)

  • 160 PA
  • .213/.250/.400 Triple Slash
  • .650 OPS
  • .187 ISO
  • .279 wOBA
  • 69 wRC+
  • 25.6 K%

OAK vs LHP, (Last 14 Days)

  • 129 PA
  • .258/.302/.542 Triple Slash
  • .844 OPS
  • .283 ISO
  • .350 wOBA
  • 121 wRC+
  • 43.6% Hard Hit Rate

STARTING PITCHING

Wade LeBlanc, 2019 (4 Games Started)

  • 18.1 IP
  • 14 K : 7 BB
  • 7.36 ERA / 6.96 FIP / 6.11 xFIP
  • 1.91 WHIP
  • .329/.380/.635 Triple Slash Allowed
  • .422 wOBAA
  • 42.3% Hard Hit Rate
  • 14.1% Barrel Rate
  • Very poor Xstats; Bottom 3 percentile in 7 major categories (Below)

Daniel Mengden, 2019 (2 Starts)

  • 12.1 IP
  • 3.65 ERA / 3.09 FIP
  • 1.14 WHIP
  • .186/.280/.233 Triple Slash Allowed
  • .237 wOBAA
  • 5.7% Barrel Rate

BULLPENS LAST 7 GAMES

SEATTLE

  • 7.84 ERA (28th)
  • 5.60 FIP (24th)
  • 1.69 WHIP (28th)

OAKLAND

  • 3.14 ERA (7th)
  • 1.19 WHIP (11th)

THE PLAY: OAK ML

On paper the A’s have a nice three phase advantage in this one against a struggling Mariner offense with a very shaky LeBlanc on the bump. I don’t have absolute confidence in Mengden, but he’s looked good thus far. This play is more about a hot Athletic lineup that’s top five in team wOBA (.365) over the last seven games, against Monsieur LeBlanc who will be making a trip to AAA if he continues at this pace. Considering the bullpen edge and Seattle’s road struggles, there’s a good case to weigh 25% of this wager on the -1.5 RL (at your own discretion for risk tolerance).

IT’S VERY GOOD TO BE BACK!

Let’s get it.

Baseball Twitter's Robin Hood. Lifetime baseball fan, avid capper and fantasy baseball player. 15+ years of stock trading experience, specializing in risk management and advanced game theories. Creator of the MLB Moving Averages algorithm in 2018

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