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MLBMA Daily Notes 5.24.19 DET at NYM

OFFENSE

DET, (Last 7 Days)

  • 203 PA
  • .207/.251/.298 Triple Slash
  • .549 OPS
  • .090 ISO
  • .235 wOBA
  • 42 wRC+
  • 25.6 K%

NYM Home vs LHP, (Last 30 Days)

  • 102 PA
  • .261/.363/.455 Triple Slash
  • .817 OPS
  • .193 ISO
  • .346 wOBA
  • 128 wRC+

STARTING PITCHING

Gregory Soto, 2019 (3 Games Started)

  • 10.0 IP
  • 7 K : 6 BB
  • 10.80 ERA / 6.09 FIP / 6.32 xFIP
  • 2.20 WHIP
  • .381/.431/.667 Triple Slash Allowed
  • .440 wOBAA
  • 39.5% Hard Hit Rate
  • 15.8% Barrel Rate

Noah Syndergaard Home, 2019 (4 Starts)

  • 27 IP
  • 3.67 ERA / 3.12 FIP / 3.36 xFIP
  • 0.96 WHIP
  • .211/.257/.337 Triple Slash Allowed
  • .257 wOBAA
  • 3.9% Barrel Rate
  • Statcast Leader (Below)
Courtesy of Baseball Savant

BULLPENS LAST 7 GAMES

DETROIT

  • 3.80 ERA (14th)
  • 5.01 FIP (20th)
  • 5.40 xFIP (27th)
  • 5.19 SIERA (29th)
  • 1.36 WHIP (17th)

NEW YORK

  • 3.38 ERA (9th)
  • 2.48 FIP (3rd)
  • 3.11 xFIP (4th)
  • 3.15 SIERA (6th)
  • 0.89 WHIP (2nd)

THE PLAY: NYM ML (Weighted & Split)

The Mets have a clear three phase advantage tonight against a scuffling Tiger offense with an inexperienced Soto on the mound. Syndergaard has shown us flashes of that ace potential in Queens, and I think tonight he’ll be too much for Detroit. The youngster Soto faces a Met team that has been excellent all year at home (13-8), and as has consistently done damage versus lefties. The line is currently sitting at (-310) which is understandably a hefty price to pay, but I think this game is a perfect opportunity to use our weighted split technique. Depending on your risk tolerance, bankroll & capabilities you could consider trying separate straight bets including F5 ML, F5 RL, ML & RL. I like to play around with my wager amounts to find a balance where I can ensure profit on an outright win, but also increase my payout if the Mets go out there tonight and beat the Tigers down.

Let’s get it.

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