Sports Betting
MLBMA Daily Notes 5.24.19 DET at NYM
OFFENSE
DET, (Last 7 Days)
- 203 PA
- .207/.251/.298 Triple Slash
- .549 OPS
- .090 ISO
- .235 wOBA
- 42 wRC+
- 25.6 K%
NYM Home vs LHP, (Last 30 Days)
- 102 PA
- .261/.363/.455 Triple Slash
- .817 OPS
- .193 ISO
- .346 wOBA
- 128 wRC+
STARTING PITCHING
Gregory Soto, 2019 (3 Games Started)
- 10.0 IP
- 7 K : 6 BB
- 10.80 ERA / 6.09 FIP / 6.32 xFIP
- 2.20 WHIP
- .381/.431/.667 Triple Slash Allowed
- .440 wOBAA
- 39.5% Hard Hit Rate
- 15.8% Barrel Rate
Noah Syndergaard Home, 2019 (4 Starts)
- 27 IP
- 3.67 ERA / 3.12 FIP / 3.36 xFIP
- 0.96 WHIP
- .211/.257/.337 Triple Slash Allowed
- .257 wOBAA
- 3.9% Barrel Rate
- Statcast Leader (Below)
BULLPENS LAST 7 GAMES
DETROIT
- 3.80 ERA (14th)
- 5.01 FIP (20th)
- 5.40 xFIP (27th)
- 5.19 SIERA (29th)
- 1.36 WHIP (17th)
NEW YORK
- 3.38 ERA (9th)
- 2.48 FIP (3rd)
- 3.11 xFIP (4th)
- 3.15 SIERA (6th)
- 0.89 WHIP (2nd)
THE PLAY: NYM ML (Weighted & Split)
The Mets have a clear three phase advantage tonight against a scuffling Tiger offense with an inexperienced Soto on the mound. Syndergaard has shown us flashes of that ace potential in Queens, and I think tonight he’ll be too much for Detroit. The youngster Soto faces a Met team that has been excellent all year at home (13-8), and as has consistently done damage versus lefties. The line is currently sitting at (-310) which is understandably a hefty price to pay, but I think this game is a perfect opportunity to use our weighted split technique. Depending on your risk tolerance, bankroll & capabilities you could consider trying separate straight bets including F5 ML, F5 RL, ML & RL. I like to play around with my wager amounts to find a balance where I can ensure profit on an outright win, but also increase my payout if the Mets go out there tonight and beat the Tigers down.
Let’s get it.
