OFFENSE

DET, (Last 7 Days)

• 203 PA
• .207/.251/.298 Triple Slash
• .549 OPS
• .090 ISO
• .235 wOBA
• 42 wRC+
• 25.6 K%

NYM Home vs LHP, (Last 30 Days)

• 102 PA
• .261/.363/.455 Triple Slash
• .817 OPS
• .193 ISO
• .346 wOBA
• 128 wRC+

STARTING PITCHING

Gregory Soto, 2019 (3 Games Started)

• 10.0 IP
• 7 K : 6 BB
• 10.80 ERA / 6.09 FIP / 6.32 xFIP
• 2.20 WHIP
• .381/.431/.667 Triple Slash Allowed
• .440 wOBAA
• 39.5% Hard Hit Rate
• 15.8% Barrel Rate

Noah Syndergaard Home, 2019 (4 Starts)

• 27 IP
• 3.67 ERA / 3.12 FIP / 3.36 xFIP
• 0.96 WHIP
• .211/.257/.337 Triple Slash Allowed
• .257 wOBAA
• 3.9% Barrel Rate
• Statcast Leader (Below)

BULLPENS LAST 7 GAMES

DETROIT

• 3.80 ERA (14th)
• 5.01 FIP (20th)
• 5.40 xFIP (27th)
• 5.19 SIERA (29th)
• 1.36 WHIP (17th)

NEW YORK

• 3.38 ERA (9th)
• 2.48 FIP (3rd)
• 3.11 xFIP (4th)
• 3.15 SIERA (6th)
• 0.89 WHIP (2nd)

THE PLAY: NYM ML (Weighted & Split)

The Mets have a clear three phase advantage tonight against a scuffling Tiger offense with an inexperienced Soto on the mound. Syndergaard has shown us flashes of that ace potential in Queens, and I think tonight he’ll be too much for Detroit. The youngster Soto faces a Met team that has been excellent all year at home (13-8), and as has consistently done damage versus lefties. The line is currently sitting at (-310) which is understandably a hefty price to pay, but I think this game is a perfect opportunity to use our weighted split technique. Depending on your risk tolerance, bankroll & capabilities you could consider trying separate straight bets including F5 ML, F5 RL, ML & RL. I like to play around with my wager amounts to find a balance where I can ensure profit on an outright win, but also increase my payout if the Mets go out there tonight and beat the Tigers down.

Let’s get it.