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MLBMA Daily Notes 5.24.19 DET at NYM




DET, (Last 7 Days)

  • 203 PA
  • .207/.251/.298 Triple Slash
  • .549 OPS
  • .090 ISO
  • .235 wOBA
  • 42 wRC+
  • 25.6 K%

NYM Home vs LHP, (Last 30 Days)

  • 102 PA
  • .261/.363/.455 Triple Slash
  • .817 OPS
  • .193 ISO
  • .346 wOBA
  • 128 wRC+


Gregory Soto, 2019 (3 Games Started)

  • 10.0 IP
  • 7 K : 6 BB
  • 10.80 ERA / 6.09 FIP / 6.32 xFIP
  • 2.20 WHIP
  • .381/.431/.667 Triple Slash Allowed
  • .440 wOBAA
  • 39.5% Hard Hit Rate
  • 15.8% Barrel Rate

Noah Syndergaard Home, 2019 (4 Starts)

  • 27 IP
  • 3.67 ERA / 3.12 FIP / 3.36 xFIP
  • 0.96 WHIP
  • .211/.257/.337 Triple Slash Allowed
  • .257 wOBAA
  • 3.9% Barrel Rate
  • Statcast Leader (Below)
Courtesy of Baseball Savant



  • 3.80 ERA (14th)
  • 5.01 FIP (20th)
  • 5.40 xFIP (27th)
  • 5.19 SIERA (29th)
  • 1.36 WHIP (17th)


  • 3.38 ERA (9th)
  • 2.48 FIP (3rd)
  • 3.11 xFIP (4th)
  • 3.15 SIERA (6th)
  • 0.89 WHIP (2nd)

THE PLAY: NYM ML (Weighted & Split)

The Mets have a clear three phase advantage tonight against a scuffling Tiger offense with an inexperienced Soto on the mound. Syndergaard has shown us flashes of that ace potential in Queens, and I think tonight he’ll be too much for Detroit. The youngster Soto faces a Met team that has been excellent all year at home (13-8), and as has consistently done damage versus lefties. The line is currently sitting at (-310) which is understandably a hefty price to pay, but I think this game is a perfect opportunity to use our weighted split technique. Depending on your risk tolerance, bankroll & capabilities you could consider trying separate straight bets including F5 ML, F5 RL, ML & RL. I like to play around with my wager amounts to find a balance where I can ensure profit on an outright win, but also increase my payout if the Mets go out there tonight and beat the Tigers down.

Let’s get it.

Baseball Twitter's Robin Hood. Lifetime baseball fan, avid capper and fantasy baseball player. 15+ years of stock trading experience, specializing in risk management and advanced game theories. Creator of the MLB Moving Averages algorithm in 2018

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