Joel Bartilotta 
It’s Saturday and every team is in action today, giving us a solid day of baseball for some MLB props to play on PrizePicks. We have some great places to target on both the pitching and hitting front today.
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Let’s dig in and see if we can make some money.
MLB Picks
DJ LeMahieu – .5 Runs + RBIs – Over
The Yankees offense is absolutely rolling right now and it shouldn’t slow down one bit tonight as they face Carlos Hernandez tonight. Hernandez has been dreadful this year, with a 5.41 xFIP and WHIP of 1.79. With LeMahieu leading off and Hernandez allowing close to 2 runners per inning, there’s a solid chance he gets on base multiple times today. Over his last 26 plate appearances, LeMahieu has been on base 10 times.
What I’m mostly focused on here is that he’s also scored 9 runs over the last week. With how many runs the Yankees have been scoring of late and with LeMahieu being a big part of that, I really like his chances to score again today. I’m going with the Over on this PrizePicks number.
Aaron Judge – 8.5 Hitter Fantasy Score – Over
When we target Carlos Hernandez with bats, we target him with right-handed bats. Through 30 plate appearances this season, righties have a .333 ISO against him and a .494 wOBA. Righties also have a 50% hard-hit rate vs. him this year.
If we look at Judge, the man is on fire. He homered against last night and that now makes it 3 over the last week with 8 RBIs and 7 runs scored. The Yankees should put up some runs today and Judge will be right in the middle of it. I like the Over on this PrizePIcks number.
Shane McClanahan – 6.5 Strikeouts – Over
The Twins have some serious pop in their lineup, starting right at the top with Byron Buxton. They also K quite a bit, starting right at the top with Byron Buxton. The projected lineup today for the Twins has a combined 27% K rate vs. lefties this season. That’s above average and today they are facing a stud pitcher in Shane McClanahan.
On the year McClanahan has a 36% K rate and a near 38% CSW. His SwStr % of 18.8% is tops of any pitcher on the hill today. This 6.5 K prop for McClanahan is one he’s hit in every game so far. If he can limit the damage today with Buxton, I have no reason to think he can’t make it 5 consecutive starts to start the year with at least 7 K’s. I’m siding with the Over on this PrizePicks K prop today.
Nathan Eovaldi – 5.5 Strikeouts – Over
Nathan Eovaldi gets the lucky straw tonight as he gets to take on the Baltimore Orioles. The Orioles are a bottom-tier offense that shouldn’t be able to do much against Eovaldi tonight. Over the last week, they’ve been striking out 27% of the time. The projected lineup tonight for the Orioles has a 24% K rate vs. righties on the year. There’s definitely some upside with K’s in that lineup for Eovaldi.
Eovaldi has hit 6 k’s 3 times so far this season, against much tougher opponents. He struck out 6 vs. the Blue Jays, 6 vs. the Tigers, and 7 vs. the Yankees. If he can get that many k’s vs. those lineups, I have no doubt he can do it vs. the Orioles. I’m going with the Over on this PrizePicks projection.
Mike Trout – 8.5 Hitter Fantasy Score – Over
Vince Velasquez continues to do Vince Velasquez things. 2022 has been no different for him as he continues to get pummeled. Through just 12 innings, Velasquez has already given up 7 barrels and 3 homers. Hitters have a 41% hard-hit rate vs. him and a nearly 45% flyball rate. He’s someone that we should always consider bats against.
Velasquez is someone that we can consider both sides of the plate because he’s bad against both, with a lean towards being worse against righties. Since the start of last year, righties have a .312 ISO against him. I’m firing up Mike Trout in both DFS today and PrizePicks. Trout has a .541 ISO vs. righties this year. A homer for him today seems like a no-brainer. I’m going with the Over on this one from PrizePicks today.
MLB Summary
Saturday brings us day baseball and night baseball. We have some great environments for pitchers and then some absolute gas cans. Any Angel bats with props will work and Yankees bats as well.
Whether it’s for PrizePicks or DFS, make sure you’re reading all of our great MLB content.
Good luck and hope to see some green bars tonight!
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