We have a decent slate of baseball and with that comes some great props to play on PrizePicks. While we have games starting as early as 1pm today, my focus here will be on games being played this evening.
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With this pick we have a couple of things working in our favor. To start, Mize is not a big strikeout pitcher. Since the start of 2021, Mize has just a 19% K rate. Anything under 20% really tells us that the pitcher just likes to get the ball in play and hope his defense does the work. His 47.5% groundball rate has really helped him limit the damage.
The other thing we have working in our favor is that this Royals lineup isn’t a high strikeout pitcher. Since the start of last season, they have just a 22% K rate vs. righties. To start the year, only the White Sox have a lower K% than the Royals. I’m siding with the Under on this projection from PrizePicks
C.J. Cron – 7.5 Hitter Fantasy Score – Over
Thankfully with PrizePicks, we really don’t have to worry about ownership. In regards to DFS, Cron should be a popular play tonight. Cron is in a great matchup tonight as he faces Justin Steele. Steele is going to throw Cron a decent amount of sinkers today.
Sinkers are a pitch that have not historically fared all too well in Colorado. It’s also a pitch that Cron has historically hit very well. Last season he had a .576 slugging % against this pitch. I would not be surprised tonight if Cron took Steele deep. I’m siding with the Over on this projection.
Kris Bryant – 7.5 Hitter Fantasy Score – Over
I won’t harp on the matchup again because Bryant gets the same one that Cron gets. There’s going to be plenty of offense to go around tonight in Coors. Kris Bryant will absolutely be part of it. While his numbers against sinkers aren’t as good as Cron’s, Bryant still had a very respectable .454 slugging % against sinkers last year and a .391 wOBA.
Bryant also has a long track record of success against lefties with a career .971 OPS against them. Bryant is set up to do some damage tonight. I like the Over here with this PrizePicks projection.
Trea Turner – 7.5 Hitter Fantasy Score – Over
The Dodgers are another team that I really like for offense tonight as they’ll face a combo of Cessa and Sanmartin against Cincy tonight. Both guys should pose no trouble at all for Turner. While I wouldn’t say that Turner is super-hot to start the year, he has had a hit in every game so far and has scored a run and had an RBI in back-to-back games. Yesterday he even stole a base. When he’s in a plus matchup like he’s in tonight, he can really do some damage. I like the Over here for Turner.
Pirates/Nationals .5 First Inning Runs – Over
This is a game that should see some offense tonight, and I like it to have some early offense at that. Both J.T. Brubaker and Joan Adon started out the season poorly. Both have an xFIP over 7 based on their initial starts and both have ERAs over 6.30.
While neither offense is one I’d say is a powerhouse, the Nats do have some big bats between Juan Soto and Josh Bell. I wouldn’t be shocked to see either one get a first-inning homer. I’m going with at least 1 run in the first inning between these 2 teams tonight.
While tonight is a smaller slate, we do have some great spots for offense and I’ll look to take advantage of those spots with PrizePicks.
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Good luck and hope to see some green bars tonight!
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New to the DFS writing world but have been playing DFS since BVP was cool. Started play season long fantasy when sporting news was used to calculate weekly scores. Originally from Brooklyn, NY but now a Baltmore resident.