Welcome to my MLB DFS Stealing Home: Sunday, June 13th, yesterday we were let down by the RedSox stack as they failed to put up a run on Steven Matz, while the Brewers came through. Today we have a nice 11 game slate so let’s dig into it.
For pitching on this slate we are not hurting for options as there are pitchers across the board that I am liking today. I am going to have one pitcher from each pricing tier.
Ace Tier: We have two primary aces on this slate with Shane Bieber and Carlos Rodon, both holding a 37% and 34% strikeout rate respectively. Diving into the matchups for both today I am giving the edge to Bieber in his matchup with the Mariners, a team where once your past the 4 or 5 holes, it all goes downhill with some easy outs for Bieber. Rodon on the other hand has a better matchup for K upside as the Tigers hold a 28.7% K average across their lineup. Detroit has better bats than the Mariners overall I believe and I am going to lean Bieber here today but both are great options to start off builds.
Mid Tier: I am looking to get a little riskier here and that’s going to be with targeting Framber Valdez. Valdez had a late start to his season but now he’s back and firing it across the plate for the Astros, holding a 1.47 ERA with 22k’s over 3 starts, two of which came against one of the best hitting teams in baseball in Boston. Now he gets a matchup with the Twins who have multiple batters over a 34% K rate. It is possible most get scared away by Donaldson and Cruz on the opposing side so I expect him to have reasonably low ownership but I am trusting Valdez today
Value Tier: For a cheap play today we have a gift from the Cincinnati Reds farm system given to us in the form of Tony Santillan. In triple-A this season he has maintained a 2.51 ERA along with a 34.4% Strikeout rate going up against one of the worst lineups in baseball in the Rockies. For 5500 we don’t even need too much from him. Look to play him and pair him up with either Valdez or Rodon/Bieber.
My top stacks for the day have to start off with the SanFrancisco Giants going up against Joe Ross. I am starting off my stacks with Buster Posey, Brandon Crawford, Mike Yastrzemski, and Brandon Belt. I am taking the main four power bats from the Giants, all of whom have an ISO above 0.227 with the lowest being Posey, This is one of the hottest teams in the league going up against a pitcher with a 52.7% hard-hit rate against lefties, expect them to put up runs here.
Stealing Home: Summary
I expect today to be a relatively straight forward slate with pitching and the bats, I am going to fill in the stacks with what fits from the Blue Jays or some team of the sort but I am quite confident in our core today. Thank you all for reading my article today, click here to find other articles over at WinDaily, and to join our discord click here. Goodluck today everyone!!!