Welcome to the Friday edition of the Stack City, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.
It’s Friday and that means we have a full slate of games. A full slate normally means a full array of options. We definitely have some tonight!
Always make sure to read Adam’s Starting Rotation when setting your lineup. It’s hands down the best pitching article in the MLB DFS business.
Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today!
MLB DFS Stacks – Main Slate
Boston Red Sox vs. Kyle Bradish
If you’ve been living under a rock, you’ve been missing out on one of the most epic stretches of offense we’ve seen in quite some time. The Red Sox just continues to put huge run totals every single night. They put 16 runs twice against the White Sox, one against an ace-level pitcher in Dylan Cease. Tonight they get a matchup against rookie Kyle Bradish.
Bradish’s splits play right into the Red Sox’s hands. In his brief Major League career, Bradish has been significantly worse against righties than lefties and outside of Rafael Devers, the Red Sox core is all right-handed. In 63 plate appearances, righties have a .454 wOBA and an insane .714 slugging %.
We’ll build around Trevor Story here as he’s just on an insane run right now. With his 4 RBI last night, he’s now up to 21 RBI over the last week. That’s just an insane stretch that we may not see often. He’s seeing the ball as well as he’s ever seen it so let’s lock him in.
Next up would be J.D. Martinez. Martinez himself is off to an incredible start to the year. With last night’s 3 hits, Martinez’s average is now up to .380. While the power hasn’t really been there for him just yet, he’s still producing as he’s now up to 27 runs scored while having 21 RBI. I’ll also look to get Kike Hernandez into this stack. After starting out the year slowly, he’s back and really hitting the ball well. He’s now hit safely in 12 of his last 13 games and over that stretch has multiple games with at least 2 hits. He’s also super affordable at just $3.5k on DK tonight.
While I really like the righties in this matchup, Rafael Devers will also be in play. He’s crushed righties this year with a .319 ISO. This entire Red Sox team is in play tonight.
Houston Astros vs. Chris Flexen
Chris Flexen has been a fun pitcher to pick on of late. Over his last 3 outings, Flexen has given up 14 ER in just 14 innings of work. A 1:1 ratio of runs to innings is just not good and today he faces off against an excellent lineup in the Houston Astros. Flexen now has given up multiple barrels in 4 consecutive games. The Astros faced Flexen in early May and were not able to put up much in that they only scored 1 run.
They had plenty of chances and just ran into some bad luck as they had a .077 BABIP in that game. I doubt that Flexen gets that type of luck again tonight. Flexen on the year has been considerably worse against same-handedness batters so I’m going to build my core of Astros batters around righties.
I’ll start off my Astros stack with Jose Altuve. Against right-handed pitching this season, Altuve has been really good. He has a .383 wOBA and has even shown a little pop with a .226 ISO vs. them. Altuve has hits in 10 of his last 11 games. I’ll look for him to continue with his hot hitting tonight vs. Flexen.
Next up is going to be Martin Maldonado. Flexen mostly throws a cutter to righties, about 45% of the time. Maldonado has really solid numbers against cutters. Over the last several years, Maldonado has a .426 ISO vs. them and a .451 wOBA. He’s super cheap and really has a chance to do some damage tonight. If we continue with the pitch data, Chas McCormick should also do well in this matchup. He has a .416 wOBA vs. the pitch from righties.
I know I said to focus on righties, but no Astros stack would be complete without the lefty duo of Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker. Lefties also see a heavy dose of cutters from Flexen and both guys absolutely smash the pitch.
Atlanta Braves vs. Trevor Rogers
It feels like it’s been forever since I recommended a Braves stack. Tonight they get a really solid matchup vs. a pitcher that has struggled in 2022. Rogers had arguably the worst outing of his season in his last game against this same Braves team. Over his last 26 innings of work, Rogers is giving up what we look for the most in MLB DFS, and that’s homers and barrels. He’s given up 6 homers and 9 barrels in those innings.
Rogers’ biggest struggles this year has really been against righties. On the year, righties are significantly better against him in just about every metric. They hit the ball harder, get more loft, and strike out way less. With the Braves being able to put out a lineup that will be about 7-8 righties deep, this as bad of a matchup as possible for Rogers. It also doesn’t help that the Braves are finally starting to hit the ball well against lefties. After starting out the season slow against them, the projection lineup tonight has a .267 ISO vs. southpaws over the last month.
My Braves stack will start with Dansby Swanson. Swanson is swinging the hottest stick for the Braves right now. Over his last 29 AB, he has 13 hits and is currently riding a 9 game hitting streak. Against lefties over the last month, Swanson has a sick .522 wOBA and .409 ISO. His early-season struggles appear to be well over. I’ll lock him at a reasonable $4.2k on DK tonight.
Next up would be William Contreras. All Contreras has done is rake since he’s been in the lineup. Over his last 5 games, he has 7 hits and a handful of walks. While his price has really risen, this is a great matchup for him as he’s just been crushing lefties. Over the last month, Contreras has had an insane .600 ISO. Expect him to do some damage vs. Rogers.
I’ll also look to include guys like Austin Riley, Ozzie Albies, and Adam Duvall. Overall, the Braves are very affordable tonight in a great matchup.
Check out our MLB Projection Model to see who is the best value pitcher of the slate on DraftKings.
MLB DFS Stacks – Summary
While I didn’t name them in my top 3, the Dodgers are also in a great spot tonight vs. MadBum. The righties in that lineup should have a field day. You can also look to the Padres vs. Quintana and Milwaukee vs. Dakota Hudson. There are some rain spots today so you’ll want to monitor that throughout the day to make sure your lineups are clear of potential postponements.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
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