Welcome to the Wednesday edition of the Stack City, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.
Wednesday brings us a spread-out day of baseball. My article will be focused on the 5 game main slate starting at 7 pm est. We have some weather concerns and a wide variety of pitchers on the mound. This slate is not one of the more exciting ones as 2 of the 5 games have some PPD potential.
Always make sure to read Adam’s Starting Rotation when setting your lineup. It’s hands down the best pitching article in the MLB DFS business.
Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today!
MLB DFS Stacks – Main Slate
Los Angeles Angels vs. Glenn Otto
Outside of one bad outing vs. the Red Sox, Glenn Otto has really been able to escape some damage this season. Even though he continues to put on close to 2 runners per inning, he’s allowed 2 runs or less in 4 of his 5 starts. Putting that many men on is playing with fire and at some point, it will catch up to him. Tonight, against a really good Angels lineup, it will catch up to him.
Through his last 19 innings of work, Otto has allowed 7 barrels and 4 homers. Both of those numbers, at least percentage-wise, are at or near the top for the worst numbers. Otto doesn’t give up many flyballs as he has a flyball rate of just 32%, but more than 20% of his flyballs end up leaving the park due to this 33% hard-hit rate. Otto has typically been a splits neutral pitcher so I’m not going to be overly worried about the handedness of the batter tonight
My Angels stack will always start with Mike Trout, regardless of his price. Over the last 30 days, Trout has been fantastic. He has a .346 ISO and a .401 wOBA vs. righties. His AVG on the year is up to .330 and is up to 12 homers. He’s had hits in 8 of his last 9 games. If you can afford him tonight, you should play him.
Next up will be an extremely affordable Jared Walsh. Walsh is finally starting to hit for some power that we’ve grown to love from him. Over his last 4 games, he has 3 homers, including 1 last night. Of his 9 homers on the year, 8 are against right-handed pitching. He crushes them and with his price under $4k for the first time since mid-May, we’re going to get someone with a ton of upside.
Other bats I’ll like here will be Shohei Ohtani, Brandon Marsh, and Luis Rengifo.
New York Yankees vs. Tyler Wells
Dead balls? Well, not in the Bronx. Through the first 2 games of the series, there have been 9 homers hit. That’s with some cooler weather too. Today should be the first game they play with warmer weather and a bit of sunshine. And because of that, I expect the ball to continue to fly in that little league stadium they call Yankee Stadium. Tyler Wells is going to have his work cut out for him today vs. this Yankees lineup.
There’s a strong chance they’ll be without Stanton today, but that really won’t change my mind with this stack because he’s actually been one of their colder hitters of late. May actually be addition by subtraction. With Wells, we attack him with right-handed bats. Righties K at a far lower rate vs. him and they also show more pop, thanks to a 53% flyball rate vs. a 51% groundball rate to lefties. The Yankees have a few righties that have some pop.
Although he went hitless last night, I’m starting this stack off with Aaron Judge. Over the last 30 days, Judge has just been destroying right-handed pitching. He has a wOBA of .545 and an ISO of .521 in 78 plate appearances over that stretch. He’s expensive, but few players in the game have the sheer upside that Judge has. Play him if you can afford him.
Next up would be Gleyber Torres. While he’s not known for his power, Torres showed last night that he does have some pop with 2 bombs. I doubt we see a repeat performance of that, but I do expect him to have a productive night at the plate. At just $4.3k on DK tonight, there’s a healthy amount of value there.
I know I said we attack Wells with righties, but I’m going to make it a point to get Anthony Rizzo into this stack. Rizzo has been playing great and has hits in 7 of his last 9 games. He’s also been tagging righties as he has a .270 ISO vs. them over the last 30 days. Other Yankees I’ll look to add are going to be Aaron Hicks and Estevan Florial.
Texas Rangers vs. Reid Detmers
My view is that Reid Detmers’ post-no-hitter hangover continues tonight. Against these same Rangers a week ago, Detmers had one of his worst outings of the season. He couldn’t escape the fourth inning as the Rangers tagged him for 3 ER and 2 homers. Between 2 starts against the Rangers this season, Detmers has allowed 8 ER in just 7 innings of work. They have his number and it will continue tonight. He’s had more than a week between starts and I expect there to be some rust tonight.
With my Rangers stack, I’m going to start it with Corey Seager. Over the past 30 days, he’s actually been great against southpaws with a wOBA over .400. He’s also shown some power vs. them with a .300 ISO. Next up with my Rangers stack will be Mitch Garver. Since coming back from injury, Garver has been arguably the Rangers’ best hitter. Over his 4 games, he has 5 hits and 2 homers. He’s always shown some power against lefties as he has a .230 ISO vs. them over the past couple of seasons. While he doesn’t get the platoon advantage here,
I also do really like Kole Calhoun. He’s also been swinging a hot stick with 8 hits over his last 22 AB entering play last night. He also has 3 homers over that stretch. Other bats I like here will be Marcus Semien, Adolis Garcia, and Sam Huff.
Check out our MLB Projection Model to see who is the best value pitcher of the slate on DraftKings.
MLB DFS Stacks – Summary
While I didn’t list them in my top stacks, the Orioles are also in play just like last night. They are scoring some runs and will provide some nice value tonight. A complete game stack of this game is absolutely in play. If the White Sox/Red Sox game plays tonight (I don’t think it does), a game stack there is also within reason. Red Sox got to Cease last night, they can also get to Gio.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
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