Joel Bartilotta 
Welcome to the Monday edition of the Stack City, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.
Monday means we’re back to mostly just night games. Both sites have left off the games starting earlier than 7 pm so we have a 10-game slate of MLB DFS to run through. We have some great areas to target tonight.
Always make sure to read Adam’s Starting Rotation when setting your lineup. It’s hands down the best pitching article in the MLB DFS business.
Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today!
MLB DFS Stacks – Main Slate
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Joan Adon
Anytime that Joan Adon is on the mound I look to take batters against him. Especially when we have a solid lineup like the Dodgers. I preach this every time a team plays him. Patience at the plate and you’ll get your pitch to hit. Of all 20 pitchers on the mound tonight, Adon has the third-lowest first strike percentage. He also has by far the worst BB/9 of any pitcher tonight.
The Marlins showed no patience in their matchup vs. Adon and scored only 1 run against a pitcher with an ERA over 6. If we look at the Dodgers against right-handed pitching, well they have the highest walk % of any team in baseball. This has the makings of just an absolutely brutal day for Adon as the Dodgers will just sit there waiting for their pitch, and they’ll get it or he’ll just keep walking batters.
With Adon, we first attack him with lefties. He’s pretty bad against both sides of the plate, but lefties typically show more power against him. This stack will start with Freddie Freeman. Although the power hasn’t really been there for him recently, he’s still producing a ton as he has 8 RBI over the last week. Now he did have a bit of a rough series vs. the Phillies, but Adon is a way worse pitcher than Freeman saw during that series. He’s going to see a ton of fastballs tonight from Adon as he throws it more than 60% of the time to lefties. It’s a pitch that he absolutely crushes from righties. Over the last several seasons, he has a .325 ISO against it and a .472 wOBA.
My next piece to my core here will be Max Muncy. Muncy also just crushes fastballs from righties. Over the last several years he has a .438 ISO against them with a .453 wOBA. Other lefties I like here that are more reasonably priced will be both Gavin Lux and Cody Bellinger. As is always the case with the Dodgers, Mookie Betts is in play, just extremely expensive.
Minnesota Twins vs. Elvin Rodriguez
We don’t’ have much of a sample size with Elvin Rodriguez other than a couple of innings of relief work from him in early April. Those couple of innings were just not good though and the Tigers rookie is someone we can absolutely target. Through 5 starts at AAA this season, Rodriguez has a 5.18 xFIP and has somewhat struggled with his command as he has a 5.16 BB/9. In the 12 ABs that righties have against in the Majors, they have a .400 ISO. They showed a ton of power against him in the couple of innings he worked.
Knowing that I’m staring this stack out with the Twins star Byron Buxton. Even when he’s not hitting the ball, Buxton produces. He’s hitless in his last 11 ABs, but has still scored 4 runs and had an RBI. There’s no reason to think he can’t return to his hitting form against an unproven rookie in what should be a great matchup for him. At “just” $5.8k on DK, his price is the cheapest in weeks with one of his best matchups during that period.
My next target here will be Gary Sanchez who is just raking in his new Twins home. Although he went 0-3 yesterday he still managed to produce with RBI and now has 9 RBI over his last 6 games. His price has gone up, but he’s in a great spot as well tonight with his .263 ISO vs. righties this season. Other guys I like in this stack are going to be Carlos Correa, Luis Arraez, and Jorge Polanco.
Houston Astros vs. Triston McKenzie
Triston McKenzie has yet to have a blow-up game. Through 7 starts, the most ER he’s allowed was 4 to the Los Angeles Angels. I think his first true blow-up game comes tonight vs. the Houston Astros. Other than his 24% K rate, every metric is poor. He’s giving up a 56% flyball rate and a near 51% hard-hit rate through his last 25 innings of work. I’m sorry, but you just can’t give up such high metrics for both of those numbers and expect to skate by for too long.
At some point, you’re going to face a lineup that’s going to be able to take full advantage of those metrics and with the Astros, you have a team that can. They’ve been one of the better teams in baseball against righties this season. They have an ISO approaching .200 and a wRC of 122. With McKenzie, we attack him with righties. If we go as far back as last season, they have an ISO over .200 and both a flyball rate and hard-hit rate approaching 50%
With that in mind, we start our Astros stack with Jose Altuve. He’s been red hot at the plate and we’ll continue to use him in these types of matchups. He had another 2 hits yesterday and also homered. That makes it 3 homers in his last 7 games and he’s all the way up to 9 on the year. Against righties this year he’s having just another solid season. His ISO is up to .250 and his wOBA is approaching .400. He’s the catalyst to one of the top offenses in the game.
He’s not a righty, but when you stack the Astros, you have to include Yordan Alvarez. He’s one of the most feared hitters in the game and has just crushed righties this season. Through 93 plate appearances, his ISO is up to .457. Just a monster show of power. With this stack, I’ll also look to include guys like Alex Bregman, Yuli Gurriel, and Kyle Tucker. Martin Maldonado is always a good option too if you want to punt catcher.
Check out our MLB Projection Model to see who is the best value pitcher of the slate on DraftKings.
MLB DFS Stacks – Summary
We have some potent lineups tonight in really good spots. The Dodgers will be extremely popular tonight against Joan Adon. There’s always a case to fade popular bats, but not sure tonight will be one of the nights you can. It’s just too good of a spot. Other spots I like tonight other than my top 3 are going to be the Giants vs. Peterson, Phillies vs. Davidson, and potentially the Cardinals vs. Berrios to be a bit different.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
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