Welcome to the Wednesday edition of the Stack City, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.
We have a nice-sized 7-game slate of MLB DFS to play with tonight. On the hill tonight will be some options that will provide us some real upside with our bats.
Always make sure to read Adam’s Starting Rotation when setting your lineup. It’s hands down the best pitching article in the MLB DFS business.
Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today!
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. German Marquez
My hope here is that after scoring just 4 runs through the first 2 games of this series that maybe, just maybe their ownership will be suppressed a bit. Of the three matchups that they will have had in this series, tonight is probably the best one. Both Kuhl and Freeland haven’t pitched all that poorly this season, especially at home in Coors. German Marquez on the other hand has really struggled this season in Coors. Pitching in Coors this season, hitters have a .587 slugging % vs just .358 on the road.
If we look at what he did last season, those numbers are just about reversed. He was a stud at home, but not anymore and that’s something we’ll want to take advantage of. In his last 3 starts at home, he’s given up 4 ER to the Padres, 7 to the Marlins, and 5 against the Mets. If we dig more into splits, we’re going to want to favor the righties here. At home, Marquez is giving up a .670 slugging % to righties, while just a meager .500 to lefties.
We’ll start off this Dodgers stack with the man at the top, Trea Turner. Outside of his 0 for 4 Monday night, Turner has been hot at the plate. Over his last 6 games, he has hits in 5 of them with 2 multi-hit games. He’s also homered a couple of times over that stretch, including one last night. He’s always a threat to put up a full stat line thanks to his combo of power and speed. He’s pricey, but he’s in a great spot to smash tonight.
Next up is Will Smith. Smith is also coming into this one playing very well. Over his last 28 AB, Smith has 9 hits and most importantly, 4 barrels. He’s been hitting the ball very hard and in the air, with a nearly 54% flyball rate over the past week. That combo is what I’m looking for here and there’s a strong chance he can take Marquez deep tonight.
Other guys I like here will be Freddie Freeman, Cody Bellinger, Max Muncy, and Trayce Thompson.
Minnesota Twins vs. Cal Quantrill
This is more of a testament to the Twins’ offense right now than it is on Cal Quantrill. The Twins’ offense is really clicking right now. No team has scored more runs over the past week than the Twins. While Quantrill hasn’t been awful, he is someone that gives up a ton of contact. Of all the starters on the main slate, only Ranger Suarez has given up a higher contact rate over the past 30 days than Quantrill.
Quantrill is also giving up a healthy amount of flyballs, as he has a nearly 38% flyball rate over the past month. Between giving up a lot of contact and a decent amount of flyballs, he’s been very susceptible to the home run ball. He’s now gone 4 consecutive starts with giving up at least 1 homer.
I’m starting off my Twins stack tonight with Carlos Correa. He’s absolutely locked in right now at the plate. Even though he took an 0 for in the nightcap of yesterday’s twin bill, he still walked 3 times. Since June 21, Correa has had 4 homers and 6 RBI. He’s been the leading charge of this Twins offense and he’s still under $5k on DK. He’s got a great shot at continuing to roll tonight vs. Quantrill.
I also really do like Byron Buxton here. With Buxton, you always have to be prepared for a game like Monday where he K’d 3 times in 4 AB and walked away with a goose egg. The reward with Buxton is much like last night’s game where he went 2 for 5 with a homer, scored 2 runs, and got you almost 20 DK points. Buxton has been extremely solid over the last 30 days vs. righties, with a .407 ISO and a .444 wOBA. Again, he can get you nothing tonight at a high price, but it’s a great spot for him.
Other bats I like here are going to be Luis Arraez who just continues to hit in any and all matchups, Jorge Polanco, and Max Kepler.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Dylan Bundy
I really wish the Guardians were hitting the ball better right now, but I still like them in this matchup. Dylan Bundy, although he can pitch well from time to time, is a pitcher that we should almost always consider stacking against. More often than not, he gets hit extremely hard. Over the last month, Bundy has given up 10 barrels over the course of 26 innings of work.
Over those 26 innings, he’s also given up 5 homers. On the year he has a handful of games where he’s given up at least 4 ER. Tonight’s one of those nights where he can give up a ton of runs. With the Guardians on the cold side, we can also get them at suppressed ownership. With Bundy, I’m not going to be overly worried about splits as he’s been pretty neutral against both sides. They each have 5 homers against him and both have slugging %’s over .450.
I’ll start off my Guardians stack with their hottest hitter right now, Amed Rosario. Rosario has hits in 8 of his last 9 games, including hits in both ends of yesterday’s double header. The ex-Mets shortstop is off to a great start this season and is on pace to set career highs in runs scored. He’s hitting close to the top of this lineup and should produce for us tonight.
Next up will be another ex-Met in Andres Gimenez. Gimenez gets the platoon advantage tonight and has been very solid against righties over the past month. His wOBA over the past 30 days is .449 vs. righties and he’s even shown some pop with a .241 ISO against them. Although he went hitless yesterday in 7 AB across the 2 games, prior to that he had hit safely in 12 of his previous 13 games. Look for him to get back on track tonight in a great matchup.
Other bats I’ll look to include here will be Jose Ramirez, Franmil Reyes, and Josh Naylor.
MLB DFS Summary
Other stacks I like tonight will be the Braves vs. Ranger Suarez, Angels vs. Michael Kopech, and Blue Jays vs. Nick Pivetta.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
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