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MLB DFS Hitter Stacks (Aug. 18)

Welcome to the Thursday edition of the Stack City, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel. 

Today we have 2 slates, a 6-game slate starting at 1pm EST and then a 5-game slate starting at the normal 7pm EST.  In both slates, there are some solid stacking opportunities.

Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today!

MLB DFS Stacks – Early

Baltimore Orioles vs. Adrian Sampson

It’s going to be tough sledding for Adrian Sampson this afternoon.  While he hasn’t pitched all that poorly, he’s going to be facing a tough Orioles lineup today that has been putting up runs more often than not.  This Orioles team is no longer the laughing stock of the league, even though they have one of the lowest payrolls of any team.  They are threatening for the final Wild Card spot in the AL and this is a matchup that should inch them closer. 

The bats that I’m going to be most interested in here are going to be the guys hitting 1-3 in this order.  That will be Cedric MullinsAdley Rutschman, and Anthony Santander.  All three of these guys will have the platoon advantage here and have been really good against righties, especially over the last month. 

I’ll start with the prized catcher, Adley Rutschman.  Rutschman is someone that we really only want to use when facing righties.  His numbers as a righty have been bad, but as a lefty, he’s been crushing.  Against righties over the last month, Rutschman has a .466 wOBA and a .216 ISO.  All 7 of his homers this season have been as a lefty and has a slugging % of .526 from that side of the plate. 

Next up will be leadoff hitter Cedric Mullins.  He’s also been lights out vs. righties over the last month, with a .390 wOBA.  He’s even shown some power with a .211 ISO.  He’ll line up extremely well with the fastball/sinker combo that Sampson will throw.  He has an ISO over.250 against both of these pitchers.  Santander will also lineup extremely well.  Against righty fastball, which he’ll 40% of the time today, he has a .336 ISO.  He should crush this afternoon vs. Sampson. 

Other bats I’ll look to get into this stack will be Ryan MountcastleJorge Mateo, and Terrin Vavra

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Antonio Senzatela

Antonio Senzatela has been extremely consistent over the past couple of months.  He’s given up at least 3 ER in 7 of his last 9 games.  With a matchup against the Cardinals today, that streak should continue against an extremely tough lineup in the Cardinals.  While the Cardinals have been one of the best in the league against lefties, they’ve also been extremely solid against righties. 

They have a season-long OPS of .727 which is well into the top half of the league.  With Senzatela, we’ll want to focus mostly on the righties as they have a .552 slugging % vs. Senzatela this season.  That said, lefties have been good against him too with a .455 slugging % and a .364 wOBA.  We won’t need to ignore them here

Knowing that Senzatela has been worse against righties automatically has me on the Cardinals’ top 2 guys, Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt.  These 2 guys are also two of the best in the league.  Over the last month, both of them have been tormenting righties with wOBA’s over .400.  They each have also shown a lot of power vs. them, with Goldy having an ISO of .420 and Arenado a .321.  They’ll be a lock in my Cardinal stacks today. 

I’m also going to look to get Lars NootbaarBrendan Donovan, and Nolan Gorman into this stack.  Both Nootbaar and Donovan are extremely cheap today and should be hitting at the top of this lineup.  Combined, they only cost $5.2k on DK and will make paying up for Arenado and Goldy a lot easier.  They’ve also been solid vs. righties over the last month, each having a wOBA over .320.  If they get on, they’ll be locks to score some runs hitting in front of the two big Cards. 

Other Stacks:

Some other stacks I like today on the early slate will be the Texas Rangers vs. Zach Logue and the Chicago Cubs vs. Spenser Watkins. 

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

San Diego Padres vs. Anibal Sanchez

The Padres get an absolute smash spot today against Anibal Sanchez and the Nationals bullpen.  This same Padres team put up a 10 spot yesterday and doing it again today is not out of the question.  Sanchez has now started 6 games on the year and has allowed at least 3 ER in every single one of them.  That trend should continue tonight. 

While he only gave up 3 ER in his last start against the Padres, he did give up 2 homers and gave up a 47% hard-hit rate.  It could have been a whole lot worse and it should be tonight on the Padres’ home turf.  Sanchez’s splits have been extremely clear this season.  Prioritize righties against him.  Righties have a nearly .700 slugging % against him in 2022 and a .486 wOBA. 

Knowing how bad Sanchez is against righties, I’m going to start my Padres stack off with Manny Machado and Brandon Drury.  Machado has been lights out vs. righties over the last month.  He has a massive .449 wOBA and a .342 ISO.  He’s coming into this one hot also, with 8 straight games of at least 2 hits.  That’s just an insane pace and with such a soft matchup, it should continue tonight.  Brandon Drury has also been really good against righties, with a .343 wOBA and a .250 ISO against them over the last month.  He’ll be in a great spot to produce tonight.

Even though my lean is to the righties here, Sanchez is still giving up a .460 slugging % to lefties.  While not a priority for me, I’ll also look to get guys like Juan Soto and Jake Cronenworth into my stack.  Soto is a beast and can take advantage of any pitcher.  He’s not a lock for me tonight due to being tough getting in 3 high salaried guys, but if value opens up today, I’ll get him in there. 

Everyone in this lineup though is in play tonight. 

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Carlos Hernandez (Potential Starter)

Oh, how I wish the calendar read 2021 today and we had the likes of Austin Meadows and a healthy Wander Franco here.  It isn’t 2021, but this is still a good spot for the Tampa Bay Rays.  They get a great matchup vs. a bad pitcher in Carlos Hernandez.  If you were to look up the term gas can in the dictionary, a picture of Hernandez may show up.  He’s now made 9 starts on the year and has given up less than 3 ER just once. 

He’s been brutal to both sides of the plate this season, with righties and lefties having slugging %’s over .500.  We have a slight lean here as righties have a wOBA .437 against him.  That said, lefties have a wOBA of .398 vs. him this season so they are 100% in play. 

I’m starting off my Rays stack with Randy Arozarena tonight.  Although he took an 0-3 last night, he’s been really hot at the plate.  Over the last week, he has had 4 homers and 10 RBI.  He’s also been decent against righties over the last month, with a wOBA over .320 and an ISO pushing .200.  He should be able to put last night’s game in the rear-view mirror and start a new hot streak. 

Next up will be Yandy Diaz.  Hitting leadoff, he’s been really good recently.  He’s hit safely in 6 of his last 8 games and has 5 hits in his last 3.  He had a monster night at the plate yesterday with 2 doubles and 3 RBI.  He’ll continue with the hot hitting tonight.

Other guys that I really like in this lineup tonight will be Brandon LoweDavid Peralta, and Taylor Walls.  These guys have been hitting the ball well and should be in a spot to succeed tonight. 

Other Stacks:

Other places I like for offense tonight will be Boston vs. JT Brubaker and the Pirates vs. Josh Winckowski.  That game has the potential for a game stack as both pitchers aren’t very good.  There should be plenty of runs to go around there.  Yankees vs. Jose Berrios are very much in play as well. 

Make sure to check our optimizer here.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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