Jared Levitt 
It’s Saturday and that means we have a full day of baseball. Today I’ll be focused on the 6-game slate of MLB DFS starting at 7pm EST. This slate brings us some really bad pitching, but that means we have a lot of bats that will come into play.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Dylan Cease ($9.3k on DK) vs. San Francisco Giants
Dylan Cease makes his Padres debut today. He’s hoping a change of scenery can reinvigorate his career after really struggling last season. His ERA and xFIP were both highs he hadn’t seen in several years. While his K/9 were still in double digits, they were still the lowest they had been since the 2020 season. He’s looking to get back on track and he’ll try do that vs. an improved Giants lineup.
While the Giants’ lineup is improved, they are still a team that has some high strike-out guys on it. Guys like Jorge Soler and Matt Chapman can strike out in bunches and that’s what I’m hoping for by using Dylan Cease tonight. It may get ugly, but I do like this spot a lot for Cease tonight. We’ll also need to keep an eye on the weather here tonight. It may get ugly later.
Logan Gilbert ($9.5k on DK) vs. Boston Red Sox
I like Gilbert a lot tonight. This is an average Red Sox lineup and they may be without Rafael Devers today. Even if they aren’t without Devers, I like Gilbert. Gilbert backed up a solid 2022 campaign with another solid year in 2023. He finished the year going 13-7 and increased his K/9 to nearly 9. While I’d normally like for strikeouts to be a bit higher at this price point, I do think we get 6-7 K’s with minimal damage against him.
Other than these 2 guys, I have little interest in anyone else. Maybe throw a flyer on Tommy Henry as the Rockies are bad, like really bad. I’m also hesitant to throw Yamamoto right now because he just hasn’t looked very good against Major League hitting yet. His time will come, just not yet at $9.7k.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Austin Gomber
This Diamondbacks lineup is really clicking so far to start the season. The defending NL champions are coming out swinging and scoring a boatload of runs. So far they’ve put 23 runs in just the two games they’ve played. They should continue with the scoring as they face a below-average pitcher in Austin Gomber. Last year, Gomber had another down year. He finished the year with a 5.5 ERA and an xFIP just a little south of that. I’ll cut him a little slack as he pitches his home games in Colorado. Not much slack though. I’m not going to be overly concerned about splits here because he was pretty bad against both sides of the plate.
I will start this stack with Ketel Marte. He’s been great to start the season with 6 hits already and 4 runs scored. There’s little reason to think that he won’t be able to continue with the good vibes against a bad pitcher. Next up will be Lourdes Gurriel who is also on fire as he has 4 runs scored and already has 6 RBI through just 2 games. Both of his hits so far have found the stands. I’ll round out this stack with guys like Christian Walker, Eugenio Suarez, and or value Blaze Alexander. Corbin Carroll is also very much in play.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Lance Lynn
I almost feel like it’s cheating to recommend the Dodgers. They’ll be a cheat code all year but this matchup vs. Lance Lynn is really good. Lynn had one of the worst years of his career last season as he finished with an ERA of 5.73. While his xFIP was below 5, he was still awful all year. He gave up a whopping 44 homers on the year which is just astounding. He’s going to continue to get rocked tonight against a powerful Dodgers lineup. I’ll favor the lefties a bit here as Lynn’s numbers were far worse against them than they were righties. 24 of the 44 homers he gave up last year were to guys hitting from the left side of the plate.
You know what that means. Let’s ride with Shohei Othani. There isn’t much that needs to be said about him. He’s one of the top hitters in the game. After him, both Freddie Freeman and Max Muncy are my favorites here. They both hit from the left side of the plate and both possess enough power to take Lynn deep tonight. Other than those 2 guys, you also have to really love Mookie Betts here. He’s been on fire to start the season as he has 3 homers and 9 RBI. The value here will be 2 guys at the bottom of the lineup. That will be Jason Heyward and Gavin Lux. Neither is a must, but both guys are cheap and in this explosive lineup.
If you want to fade these 2 teams, a game stack of the Cubs/Rangers game is also in play. Neither of Hendricks or Bradford are very good and both can get tagged here.
Favorite Prop Bets:
Ketel Marte – Over 1.5 Total Bases – (-140 on DK)
Shohei Ohtani – Over 1.5 Total Bases – (-110 on DK)
Corey Seager – Over 1.5 Total Bases – (-110 on DK)
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
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