Jared Contestabile 
Thursday is here, and with it comes one of the best slates of the week! We have action all day long. Let’s get to it!
MLB DFS Aces
Merrill Kelly vs Washington Nationals
There isn’t much sexy about how Kelly pitches. He doesn’t rack up strikeouts usually, but is is efficient and facing one of the lesser lineups in MLB. He has fantastic numbers this season, and this is a prime spot. Kelly owns a 2.80 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and a 77/28 K/BB over 70.2 innings of work. He has allowed 2 or less ER in six of his last seven outings, and has 8+ K in four of those starts.
Arizona is listed as a -155 favorite in this one. Kelly looks like a lock for a quality start against a Nationals team that is largely devoid of power
Tyler Glasnow vs Minnesota Twins
Glasnow is back, and so is his sky-high K potential. The Twins are striking out at an alarming rate, and have scored a grand total of one run in two games so far against the Rays.
Zach Eflin punched out nine two nights ago, and Glasnow has 14 strikeouts in just 9.2 innings of work against the Dodgers and Red Sox. He might not go much past 5 innings, but the upside is massive. The Rays are -165 favorites with a total of just 7.5 runs. Glasnow could hit double digits before he takes a seat in this one.
Spencer Strider vs New York Mets
For better or worse, Strider carries strikeout upside that is second to none. He has looked shaky at time recently, but that doesn’t scare me off of him for a second.
On the season, he has a ridiculous 113/25 K/BB over 69.2 IP. He faced the Mets earlier this season and gave up four ER over five innings, but still managed to strike out eight.
If he keeps the ball in the park, this Mets lineup is very beatable. He is a -175 favorite at home.
MLB DFS Stacks
New York Yankees vs Lance Lynn
The Yankees offense is still one of the elite in MLB, and I am a firm believer that Lance Lynn is just about out of gas.
He had a nice three-game stretch against the Tigers, Royals, and Guardians, but then was absolutely shelled by the Angels last time out.
His hideous 6.55 ERA and 1.51 WHIP to go along with 15 HR allowed in 67 innings of work wont end well in Yankee Stadium today.
Even with Aaron Judge on the shelf, this lineup is in a prime spot. Anthony Rizzo, Gleyber Torres, Giancarlo Stanton, Anthony Volpe, and even Jake Bauers are in play here. It’s going to be a long day for Mr. Lynn.
San Fransisco Giants vs Chase Anderson
Chase Anderson looks on the surface to be finding success in 2023, but I’m not buying what he is selling.
He has just an 11.9% K rate and has an xBA of .273. His hard hit rate is manageable, but Coors Field is going to catch up to him.
I’m betting today is that day. JD Davis has actually been an elite hitter this season by batted ball metrics. Mitch Haniger is finding his groove, Joc Pederson has top-shelf power, and i can’t het enough of Blake Sabol in a power environment.
Anderson is pitching to contact in a major way. This game has a total of 11.5 for a reason.
Colorado Rockies vs Alex Cobb
Alex Cobb is another pitcher who is destined to see some negative regression. He has kept the ball on the ground at an elite rate of 61.9%, but his HardHit rate is over 44%.
I think this is the perfect time to target both sides of Coors against two aging pitchers who are pitching above their talent level.
Ryan McMahon has been red hot, Nolan Jones is showing some power, Elias Diaz continues to hit well, and the ageless Charlie Blackmon continues to rake. Give me both sides of this one in what should be a very high-scoring affair.
MLB DFS Summary
Coors Field looks too good to pass up, and we have a few good slates split up over a long day!
Find the team in the Discord and let’s chat about some plays!
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
Check me out on Twitter @BigItaly42 and let me know who you are playing tonight! Always around to talk some MLB!
