DFSGhost 
Welcome to the Tuesday edition of MLB DFS: Aces and Bases. Today we have a nice sized 11 game main slate on Fanduel. Due to the rainouts in Chicago and Colorado yesterday, those games were left off of today’s Fanduel main slate.
We have ourselves a Jacob Degrom today! Outside of Degrom there are some other solid options that can be utilized today. There are also some intriguing hitting spots.
With that being said, let’s dig in to today’s slates!
MLB DFS: The Aces
Jacob Degrom ($12.5k) vs. St. Louis Cardinals – There’s really not much I can say about Degrom that hasn’t already been said. He’s the top pitcher in the league. Anytime he’s on the mound he should be included in your lineup, or at the very least, be considered for your lineup. On the season he’s k’ing more than 15 per 9, has a ridiculous 1.39 xfip, a 23% swinging strike %, and 59 k’s through 35 innings of work. He’s a generational pitcher. Cardinals have a near 25% k rate vs. righties this year. He should be in your lineup.
If you are making the decision to fade Degrom today, here are some other options I like.
Nick Pivetta ($8.3k) vs. Detriot Tigers – On Sunday we attacked the Tigers with Corey Kluber. He returned the favor with 10 k’s and 8 innings of shutout ball. Do I think we get a similar outing today from Pivetta? Eh, I doubt it. But I do like his chances of having a strong outing. The Tigers are k’ing at a 29% clip vs. righties to go along with a low OPS and wOBA.
Pivetta’s pitch makeup consists of mostly fastballs and curveballs. Combined, it’s about 75% of the time. Focusing on his curveball, it’s a pitch that the Tigers struggle with. Outside of Jonathan Schoop and Akil Baddoo there isn’t a batter that has an ISO great than .115 against this pitch. Really like the matchup here for Pivetta.
Huascar Ynoa ($8k) vs. Washington Nationals – Ynoa is someone who has gone a little under the radar this season. Outside of one outing vs. the Cubs, he’s been really good. He has a 2.64 xfip for the year through 27 IP, which is one of the lower marks for any pitcher going today.
Ynoa mostly relies on his fastball and slider. The slider is a pitch that the Nationals struggle with. All of them whiff at a rate greater than 27%. This is a high upside spot for Ynoa tonight. No reason to believe he can’t have a ceiling game tonight. He faced this team at the start of the season and threw 5 innings and k’ing 5 while only allowing 3 base runners. Like the spot here.
J.A. Happ ($7.9k) vs. Texas Rangers is another intriguing spot. Rangers are very attackable vs. lefties. With some of the pitchers out there tonight, I just don’t think the need is to go here. Especially with Ynoa at a very similar price point.
MLB DFS: The Bats
Atlanta Braves vs. Joe Ross – Outside of one outing vs. the Cardinals, Ross has been pretty decent this year. He has 2 QS and 1 where he got pulled just before he could get it. I still like my chances here, and here’s why. Ross is a predominantly sinker ball pitching. Throwing it 37% of the time to lefties and 40% to righties. Braves batters all have a lot of experience against this pitch. Ronald Acuna ($4.2k) – .274 ISO, Freddie Freeman ($4k) – .333 ISO, Marcell Ozuna ($3.2k) – .180 ISO, Ozzie Albies ($3.3k)– .237 ISO, Dansby Swanson ($2.5k) – .207 ISO. All 5 of these guys have had great success. Due to pricing, if going with this stack I’m going to go w/ 2-5.
Oakland Athletics vs. Anthony Kay – Kay is making his second start today. His first start, it did not go well. He only lasted three and a third innings after giving up 4 earned runs. The Athletics have done really well this season vs. lefties. Their K rate vs. lefties is middle of the pack at 24%, but they have a .766 OPS to go along with a .332 wOBA.
The A’s will throw out a bunch of righties today. Guys like Mark Canha ($3.3k), Ramon Laureano ($3.5k), and Matt Chapman ($3k) should all feast tonight. Look for another short outing out of Kay tonight.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Eric Lauer – The box score shows that Lauer pitched well in his first outing vs. the Dodgers. The advanced metrics tell a different story. His xFIP for the game was 4.88 and he had a BABIP of .267. 46.7% of the contact he gave up was hard and he had a low swinging strike rate of 8.2%. These are all red flags that mean he didn’t pitch nearly as well as his final line showed.
Lauer in his career has actually been a reverse splitsy pitcher who’s done better against righties than lefties. That said, the Phillies have a bunch of guys they’ll throw out tonight that smash lefties. I’m assuming Harper sits tonight so 1-4 should look like Andrew McCutchen ($3.3k), Rhys Hoskins ($3.9k), Alec Bohm ($2.6k), and JT Realmuto ($3.4k). This is going to be a really tough start for Lauer and I hope the regression from his first start comes tonight.
MLB DFS: The Wrap Up
This is shaping up to be a nice slate. Because of the Rockies game being taken off of the slate, we don’t have to worry about Coors. Degrom should carry heavy ownership, while bats may be more spread out. There are some weather hot spots in Philly, Washington, and St Louis so you’ll want to keep an eye on those games.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green tonight!
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