Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Tuesday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows.
Monday was a strong day as we went 2-0 with our picks. That leaves us with a 44-42-11 mark over the history of this 2021 MLB Betting column.
We’re ahead of the game because of the 25 underdogs and several short favorites we hit. Over half of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do.
The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.
We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us.
Tuesday MLB Best Bets!
Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).
Game two of a four-game series takes place tonight at 7:05 pm. Philadelphia has a 1-0 series lead and leads the season series 5-4.
Erick Fedde (4-7, 4.88) is expected to make the start tonight and over his past 12.1 innings pitched has allowed nine earned runs with a dozen strikeouts. He’ll face a Phillies offense with a 24 percent strikeout rate, .158 ISO and wRC+ of 89 against right-handed pitching this season.
Matt Moore (0-2, 5.79) is the Phillies probable starting pitcher and over his last 14.2 innings pitched has allowed ten earned runs with 14 punchouts. He’s up against a Nationals offense with a 22 percent strikeout rate, .175 ISO and wRC+ of 112 this season against left-handed pitching.
Cash with Flash Tuesday MLB Pick: +103
New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays
Game one of a three-game series begins tonight at 7:10 pm and Tampa Bay holds a season series edge of 8-5.
Jordan Montgomery (3-5, 3.96) is expected to make the start tonight and over his last 18.1 innings of work has allowed six earned runs with 19 strikeouts. He’s up against a Rays offense with a 27 percent strikeout rate alongside a .153 ISO and wRC+ of 92 against left-handed pitching this season.
Shane McClanhan (4-3, 3.88) should make the start tonight and over his previous 14.1 innings pitched has surrendered five earned runs with 17 strikeouts. He’s facing a Yankees offense with a 23.5 percent strikeout rate alongside a .174 ISO and wRC+ of 112 against lefties this season.
Phil "Cash with Flash" Naessens hosts the Phil Naessens Show and This Week in Tennis. Phil was formerly a sports handicapper of three years at Winners and Whiners, Racing Dudes, and Stat Salt. Phil’s work has been showcased on several SB Nation websites, Win Daily Sports, FanSided, BetQl, Creative Sports 2, FanTrax, Fantasy Team Advice as well as many others. In addition to his writing, Phil has been a featured guest on Sirius XM, ESPN, CBS, Fox Sports, Radio Europe, Armed Forces Radio as well as several local radio and TV spots in the Cleveland Area.
Phil is a semi-retired high-performance tennis coach and still teaches at camps and clinics worldwide, including Brookwood Sports Academy in Glen Spey, New York where he is the current Director of Tennis.