Phil Naessens 
Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Monday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows.
Sunday was a tough one as we went 0-2 with our picks. That leaves us with a 42-42-11 mark over the history of this 2021 MLB Betting column.
We’re ahead of the game because of the 23 underdogs and several short favorites we hit. Over half of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do.
The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.
We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us.
Monday MLB Best Bets!
Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).
In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101
Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets
Game one of a two-game doubleheader begins tonight at 5:10 pm and New York holds a 6-5 season series edge.
Kyle Muller (1-3, 3.20) is scheduled to make the start tonight and over his previous 14.2 innings of work has allowed four earned runs with 19 strikeouts. He’ll face a Met offense with a 25 percent strikeout rate, .149 ISO and wRC+ of 100 this season against left-handed pitching.
Marcus Stroman (7-8, 2.59) is expected to make the start tonight and over his past 18 innings pitched has surrendered five earned runs with 15 strikeouts. He’s up against a Braves offense with a 25 percent strikeout rate, .186 ISO and wRC+ of 101 against right-handed pitching this season.
Cash with Flash Monday MLB Pick: Braves +133
Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs
Game one of a four-game scheduled series is set to begin tonight at 8:10 pm. Cincinnati leads their season series 6-3.
Wade Miley (8-4, 2.72) is the Reds probable starting pitcher tonight and over his past 21 innings pitched has allowed three earned runs with 15 strikeouts. He’ll meet a Cubs offense with a 26 percent strikeout rate, .162 ISO and wRC+ of 98 against lefties this season.
Kyle Hendricks (12-4, 3.61) is expected to start tonight and over his last 18.2 innings pitched has allowed five earned runs with eight strikeouts. He’ll face a Reds offense with a 23 percent strikeout rate, .170 ISO and wRC+ of 103 against right-handed pitching this season.
Cash with Flash Monday MLB Pick: Reds
Good luck today!
