Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Sunday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows.
Saturday saw a slight profit as we hit with the underdog Atlanta Braves. That leaves us with a 42-40-11 mark over the history of this 2021 MLB Betting column.
We’re ahead of the game because of the 23 underdogs and several short favorites we hit. Over half of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do.
The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.
We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us.
Sunday MLB Best Bets!
Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).
In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101
Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies
Game four of a scheduled four-game series starts today at 1:05 pm. Atlanta holds a 2-1 series lead but Philadelphia holds the season series lead 8-7.
Touki Toussaint (1-0, 1.35) should make the start today and over his past 6.2 innings pitched has surrendered one earned run with five strikeouts. He’ll meet a Phillies offense with a 24 percent strikeout rate, .157 ISO and wRC+ of 89 against right-handed pitching.
Aaron Nola (6-6, 4.64) is the Phillies probable starting pitcher and over his last 16 innings pitched has allowed 15 earned runs with 24 strikeouts. He’ll face a Braves offense with a 25 percent strikeout rate, .157 ISO and wRC+ of 101 against righties this season.
Cash with Flash Sunday MLB Pick: Braves +158
Oakland Athletics vs Seattle Mariners
Game four of a four-game series is set to begin today at 4:10 pm. Seattle has a 2-1 series lead and also holds a 5-4 season series edge.
Cole Irvin (7-8, 3.42) should make the start today and over the past 19 innings pitched has allowed five earned runs with 13 strikeouts. He’ll face a Mariners offense with a 27 percent strikeout rate, .171 ISO and wRC+ of 89 against left-handed pitching this season.
Marco Gonzales (2-5, 5.69) is the Seattle starting pitcher and over his previous 14 innings pitched has allowed a dozen earned runs with ten strikeouts. He’s up against an Oakland offense with a 23 percent strikeout rate, .170 ISO and wRC+ of 102 against lefties this season.
Cash with Flash Sunday MLB Pick: Oakland -125