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Cash with Flash Saturday MLB Picks!



Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Saturday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows.  

Friday was a winning day as we went 1-1 with our picks for a slight profit. That leaves us with a 34-32-11 mark over the history of this 2021 MLB Betting column. 

We’re ahead of the game because of the 17 underdogs and several short favorites we hit. Nearly half of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do. 

The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.

We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us. 

Saturday MLB Best Bets!

Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).

In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101 

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Game three of a four-game scheduled series is set to take place tonight at 6:05. The teams split a doubleheader yesterday and Miami has a 6-5 season series edge.

Righty Zach Thompson (2-2, 2.25) is expected to start tonight and has surrendered four earned runs with 24 punchouts over his last 16 innings pitched. He’s set to face a Phillies offense with a 24 percent strikeout rate alongside a .158 ISO and wRC+ of 89 against righties this season.

Right-hander Vince Velesquez (3-4, 5.35) is the Phillies probable starting pitcher today and over his last 15.1 innings pitched has allowed 13 earned runs with 13 strikeouts. He’s up against a Miami offense with a 26 percent strikeout rate alongside a .139 ISO and wRC+ of 90 against righties this season.

Cash with Flash Saturday MLB Pick: Marlins -110

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds

Game two of a three-game scheduled series is set to take place at 7:10 pm. Cincinnati won game one and has a 8-6 season series edge.

Righty Brandon Woodruff (7-4, 2.06) is set to make the start today and over his past 18.1 innings pitched has allowed six earned runs with 18 strikeouts. He’s up against a Reds offense with a 23 percent strikeout rate alongside a .173 ISO and wRC+ of 106 this season against right-handed pitching.

Right-hander Luis Castillo (3-10, 4.65) should make the start tonight and over his last 18.2 innings pitched has allowed five earned runs with 16 strikeouts. He’s up against a Milwaukee offense with a 26 percent strikeout rate, .159 ISO and wRC+ of 89 against right-handed pitching this season.

Cash with Flash Saturday MLB Pick: Reds +105

Good luck today!

Phil "Cash with Flash" Naessens hosts the Phil Naessens Show and This Week in Tennis. Phil was formerly a sports handicapper of three years at Winners and Whiners, Racing Dudes, and Stat Salt. Phil’s work has been showcased on several SB Nation websites, Win Daily Sports, FanSided, BetQl, Creative Sports 2, FanTrax, Fantasy Team Advice as well as many others. In addition to his writing, Phil has been a featured guest on Sirius XM, ESPN, CBS, Fox Sports, Radio Europe, Armed Forces Radio as well as several local radio and TV spots in the Cleveland Area. Phil is a semi-retired high-performance tennis coach and still teaches at camps and clinics worldwide, including Brookwood Sports Academy in Glen Spey, New York where he is the current Director of Tennis.

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