Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Friday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows.
Sunday was a losing day as we went 1-1 with our picks for a slight loss. That leaves us with a 33-31-11 mark over the history of this 2021 MLB Betting column.
We’re ahead of the game because of the 16 underdogs and several short favorites we hit. Nearly half of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do.
The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.
We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us.
Friday MLB Best Bets!
Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).
In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101
Tampa Bay Rays vs Atlanta Braves
Game one of a three game series takes place tonight at 7:20 pm. This is the first meeting this season between the two clubs.
Righty Michael Wacha (2-2, 4.87) should make the start tonight and over his past 14 innings pitched has allowed six earned runs with 18 strikeouts. He’s up against an Atlanta offense with a 25 percent strikeout rate, .188 ISO and wRC+ of 102 against righties this season.
Right-hander Charlie Morton (8-3, 3.64) is the Braves probable starting pitcher and over his past 18.1 innings pitched has allowed seven earned runs with 21 strikeouts. He’ll meet a Tampa Bay offense with a 27 percent strikeout rate alongside a .177 ISO and wRC+ of 106 this season against right-handed pitching.
Cash with Flash Friday MLB Pick: Tampa Bay +120
Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels
Game one of a three-game scheduled series is set for tonight at 9:37 pm. Seattle enjoys a 6-4 season series lead.
Righty Chris Flexen (8-3, 3.51) is set to make the start and over his past 18 innings pitched has allowed four earned runs with 13 strikeouts. He’s up against an Angels offense with a 24 percent strikeout rate, .179 ISO and wRC+ of 105 this season.
Lefty Andrew Heaney (5-6, 5.38) should make the start tonight and has allowed 15 earned runs with 19 strikeouts over his past 14.1 innings of work. He’ll face a Seattle lineup with a 27 percent strikeout rate, .166 ISO and wRC+ of 88 against southpaws this season.
Cash with Flash Friday MLB Pick: Seattle +130
Good luck today!