Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Sunday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows.
Saturday was a losing day as we hit with the favored Indians but missed on underdog Houston.. That leaves us with a 32-30-11 mark over the history of this 2021 MLB Betting column.
We’re ahead of the game because of the 16 underdogs and several short favorites we hit. More than half of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do.
The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.
We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us.
Sunday MLB Best Bets!
Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).
In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101
Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins
Game three of a three-game scheduled series begins today at 1:10 pm. Atlanta has won both games and the season series is tied 6-6.
Righty Ian Anderson (5-4, 3.27) is expected to start the ballgame and over his past 18 innings pitched has allowed six earned runs with 15 punchouts. He’s up against a Miami offense with a 27 percent strikeout rate, .135 ISO and wRC+ of 88 against right-handed pitching this season.
Righty Pablo Lopez (4-5, 2.94) should make the start this afternoon and over his last ten innings pitched has allowed four earned runs with 17 strikeouts. He’ll meet an Atlanta offense with a 25 percent strikeout rate alongside a .186 ISO and wRC+ of 102 against right-handed pitching this season.
Cash with Flash Sunday MLB Pick: Braves +115
Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox
Game three of a three-game scheduled series takes place today at 1:10 pm. The series is split 1-1 and Boston holds a 3-2 season series lead.
Righty Aaron Nola (6-5, 4.53) should be toeing the rubber to start the ballgame and has allowed 11 earned runs with 31 punchouts over his past 16 innings pitched. He’s up against a Boston offense with a 24 percent strikeout rate, .186 ISO and wRC+ of 104 against right-handed pitching this season.
Right-handed Nick Pivetta (7-3, 4.09) is expected to start this afternoon and over his previous 18 innings pitched has allowed six earned runs with 23 strikeouts. He’ll face a Phillies offense with a 24 percent strikeout rate, .160 ISO and wRC+ of 91 against right-handed pitching this season.
Cash with Flash Sunday MLB Pick: Phillies -112
Good luck today!