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MLBMA Daily Notes 5.10.19 DET at MIN

OFFENSE

DET, (Last 7 Days)

  • 217 PA
  • .224/.276/.363 Triple Slash
  • .640 OPS
  • .139 ISO
  • .276 wOBA
  • 71 wRC+
  • 24.0 K%

MIN, (Last 7 Days)

  • 236 PA
  • .275/.339/.483 Triple Slash
  • .822 OPS
  • .209 ISO
  • .349 wOBA
  • 119 wRC+
  • 44.3% Hard Hit Rate

STARTING PITCHING

Tyson Ross, 2019 Away (3 Games Started)

  • 16 IP
  • 12 K : 11 BB
  • 5.63 ERA / 5.32 FIP / 5.20 xFIP
  • 1.69 WHIP
  • .267/.375/.400 Triple Slash Allowed
  • .341 wOBAA
  • 40.8% Hard Hit Rate
  • Very poor Xstats (below)
Courtesy of Baseball Savant

Jake Odorizzi, 2019 (3 Home Starts)

  • 18.2 IP
  • 24 K : 4 BB
  • 34.3 K%
  • 0.96 ERA / 1.90 FIP / 3.49 xFIP
  • 0.80 WHIP
  • .167/.214/.212 Triple Slash Allowed
  • .193 wOBAA
  • Only 26.2% Hard Hit Allowed
  • Xstats leader (below)
Courtesy of Baseball Savant

BULLPENS LAST 7 GAMES

DETROIT

  • 8.37 ERA (29th)
  • 7.40 FIP (30th)
  • 1.99 WHIP (28th)

MINNESOTA

  • 2.40 ERA (7th)
  • 3.78 FIP (15th)
  • 0.87 WHIP (3rd)

THE PLAY: MIN ML

The Twins have a pretty clear three-phase advantage today, so even if Odorizzi stumbles early, they should have the goods to rebound from it today. The Twins have the 4th-best team wOBA over the last seven days (.350), compared to the Tiger’s 25th-best .276 wOBA. The bullpens couldn’t be more slanted in Minnesota’s favor, so we can enter the late innings of today’s game with confidence.

Let’s get it.

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