Investment: $1,641 Projection: $1,657.73
My projection for profit has decreased from last week, from +220.85 to +16.73 on Draft Kings. Just a reminder, how I calculate being overweight and underweight on players is 1/12 = 8.33%. 12 is the number of teams that participate in best ball drafts. A lot of WRs make the hit list this week. Note to future Joe: draft a lot of WRs next summer! They are where your bread is buttered, not at the RB position!
Hits:
A.J. Brown (16%) – the Philly WR set an NFL record with 6 straight games of 125 yards or more. His MVP odds have decreased down to 10 to 1. He seems unguardable as teams cannot match his size, speed, and elite catch radius. If it weren’t for Tyreke Hill he would be WR1.
Michael Pittman (12%) – the USC product has scored double-digit Draft Kings points every week but 1 this season. Not too shabby for this mid-round WR. Minshew has taken a liking to both Pittman and Downs, as they continue to garner a large % of the market share in Indy. I expect him to feast this week in Carolina.
Deandre Hopkins (10%) – 4 catches for 128 yards with 3 TDs. He’s made it rain with some very bad QBs in the past. Not to say Levis is very bad, but he is young and raw, and he will not throw for 4 TDs every week. But if he was smart, he would consistently target Mr. Hopkins as much as possible moving forward.
CeeDee Lamb (9%) – he had a career day against the Rams with 44 Draft Kings points. The Cowboys head to Philly on Sunday for an action-packed NFC East showdown. Lamb has shown this season that not only can he beat you lined up in the slot position, but outside as well.
Tyreek Hill (8%) – another NFL record was set this weekend as Tyreke became the quickest receiver to 1,000 yards in the Super Bowl era. Through 8 games he has 1, 014 yards with 8 TDs. Ya’ll better set your alarm clocks this Sunday as they square off against the Chiefs in Germany at 9:30 a.m. ET.
Misses:
Ryan Tannehill (17%) – I don’t think well see Tannehill take another snap for the Titans this season. He threw for 2 TD passes this entire season. Will Levis threw for 4 this past Sunday. He is not going to burn me on a lot of teams, as he was mostly drafted as my QB3. But hes certainly not going to contribute.
Tony Pollard (17%) – if I told you the Cowboys scored 43 points and Pollard had 6.5 fantasy points, would you believe me? Because I wouldn’t be lying. He has NOT seen the endzone since Week 1. Maybe he’s not ever going to be the RB that he was before the leg injury at the end of last season. Dallas seems to be running him A LOT inside the tackles, which is clearly not his strength. A lot has to change for me to fall back in love with my heavy round 2 exposure to Pollard.
Gus Edwards (3%) – sadly my Baltimore RB exposure was more heavily invested in J.K. Dobbins (12%). More like JK Rowling, am I right? I know he will not face Arizona every week, but his snaps and touches have increased week to week. With a more traditional offense being run under the new OC, I expect Lamar to run less and the Staten Island (shoutout Shaolin) product to run more.
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