9/27 DFS Pitching and Prop Picks: Buehler and Berrios Bonanza

This is the final Friday slate of the season and it’s been a joy providing pitching picks for you guys. That’s why we’re going to provide a bonus selection this week and give you six recommendations. That’s indicative of how much I like this slate and it should be a great day for pitching. With that in mind, let’s get into our 9/27 DFS pitching picks!

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9/27 DFS Pitching Cash Game Pitchers of the Day 

Walker Buehler, LAD at SF 

DK ($11,700)   FD ($10,200) 

This is easily the best cash game pitcher on the board. Not only do we have one of the best pitchers in the league here, we also have him in a superior matchup. Let’s begin with that opponent, facing a Giants team who ranks 28^th in runs scored, OBP, OPS and xwOBA. That’s especially scary in a place like Oracle Park, which is easily one of the toughest parks in baseball. All of that make Buehler the best play of the day, with the Dodgers righty pitching to a 3.25 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 29 percent K rate. In his last start against San Fran, Buehler pitched seven scoreless innings while striking out nine batters. Buehler and the Dodgers are a –190 favorite in this fixture, if you needed any more incentive. 

Jose Berrios, MIN at KC 

DK ($10,800)   FD ($9,600) 

While Berrios has been sliding recently, it has lowered his price to this intriguing number. We’re still talking about a guy who has a 3.70 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. What really makes him enticing is the fact that he’s gone more than four innings in all 32 of his starts this season. That’s an unbelievable floor and it’s led to him scoring at least 39 FanDuel points in more than half of his starts. That 39-point mark appears to be very likely outcome against an offense like this, with the Royals ranked 25th in runs scored, 24^th in OBP, 27^th in OPS and 24^th in xwOBA. That’s why Berrios and the Twins enter this matchup as a –230 favorite.  

9/27 DFS Pitching GPP Plays of the Day 

Anthony DeSclafani, CIN at PIT 

DK ($9,900)   FD ($8,400) 

DeSclafani is a personal favorite of mine and he’s just one pitch away from being an elite starter. That’s really evident when you see that he’s allowed two runs or fewer in 17 of his 30 starts this season while allowing one or less 15 of those. He’s currently in the best stretch of his career right now too, pitching to a 2.05 ERA and 0.77 WHIP over his last seven starts. That’s horrific news for a Pirates lineup who will be without Josh Bell and Starling Marte. Those absences have led to Pittsburgh ranking bottom-five in runs scored, OBP and OPS for the month of September.  

Vince Velasquez, PHI vs. MIA 

DK ($6,200)   FD ($7,600) 

Velasquez is one of the riskiest pitchers in the league but facing the Marlins is a good way to limit that risk. The reason for that is because Miami sits bottom-two in runs scored, OBP, OPS and xwOBA. That’s a perfect recipe for a guy like Velasquez, with the right-hander posting a 4.21 career xFIP and 26 percent K rate. His swing-and-miss stuff has been pristine recently too, generating a 10.2 K/9 rate over his last 80 innings pitched. Vegas appears to like Velasquez too, making him a –180 favorite in this tasty matchup.  

9/27 DFS Pitching Punt Plays 

Ivan Nova, CWS vs. DET 

DK ($5,600)   FD ($6,000) 

Nova’s price is way too friendly to avoid. While he’s mixed duds and gems all season long, this is one of those instances where he can produce for us. The reason for that is because he faces the Tigers, with the Motor City Kitties ranked last in runs scored, OBP, OPS, xwOBA and K rate. That puts any pitcher in play against them, especially a guy who’s had a resurgent season half. Over his last 13 starts, Nova is pitching to a 3.15 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. In his last two starts against this putrid offense, Nova has allowed just two runs across 13 innings of action, proving that these price tags are ridiculous.  

Jose Urquidy, HOU at LAA 

DK ($7,500)   FD ($7,000) 

I feel bad for the Angels. They’re currently without Mike Trout, Shohei Ohtani, Justin Upton and Tommy LaStella. That’s led to them sending out one of the worst lineups in baseball, which is evident by the fact that they have just 70 runs scored this month, the lowest total in the Majors. You can’t send out a lineup with guys like Michael Hermosillo, Jared Walsh, Taylor Ward, Kaleb Cowart and Anthony Bemboom and expect to succeed. That squarely puts Urquidy in play, as he’s actually allowed just one run in five of his last six starts while generating a 0.90 WHIP and 9.3 K.9 rate in that span. All of this has him and the Astros entering this matchup s a –210 favorite.  

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Jose Urquidy Over 4.5 Strikeouts

This prop is so low because the Angels almost never strike out but this is a different team. You can see that in the Urquidy write-up, with half of their lineup injured. That’s a nightmare against a pitcher who is rolling like Urquidy and I would be shocked if he doesn’t get at least six Ks.

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