Week 15 in NFL DFS is about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with a high upside. Follow my stud and value GPP plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.
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I am currently in Puerto Rico for the Fanduel World Championship but wanted to provide some of the guys I am looking at this week for my main lineup.
Quarterbacks:
Stud: Jimmy Garoppolo ($8,400 FD)
He is in an obvious great spot against the Atlanta Falcons who travel to the West Coast to face Kyle Shanahan (their old offensive coordinator) and the San Fransisco 49ers. The Falcons will be without their WR2 Calvin Ridley, and honestly, I don’t think they have much of a chance to win here. I am calling for a 49ers blowout. Atlanta has given up 24 touchdowns through the air (tied for 7th most) and probably give up a (at least) few more here. Garoppolo just put up 402 and four touchdowns on the Saints, in New Orleans. If this offense is clicking like it was last week Garoppolo could be your highest scoring QB.
Pivot: DeShaun Watson
Value: Ryan Tannehill ($7,600 FD)
He gets the 27th worst fantasy pass defense in the NFL in the Houston Texans. I rewatched the Texans game this week, and their defensive backs are lost. They allowed Broncos rookie QB Drew Lock to come in and throw for 309 and three touchdowns. Tannehill has been very stable in basically all of his starts as the Titans QB. He has multiple touchdowns in every game except for one and has rushed for three touchdowns in the last five games. I love his price this week and he is in top consideration to make my FanDuel live final lineup. I also like that the Titans can clinch the AFC South with a win on Sunday.
Pivot: Russell Wilson (not on your Chris Carson teams)
Punt: Derek Carr, Kyle Allen, Eli Manning
Running Backs
Stud RB: Chris Carson ($7,400 FD)
Every week you should be targeting the Carolina Panthers rush defense. They have given up five more touchdowns than any other team in the NFL this season. The issue with playing Carson lately has been the Rashard Penny was splitting touches, but now that he is out for the season we can go back to our Seattle bell cow. Carson could be in for 20 touches in this game and WILL get in the end zone at least once. He is my favorite running back on the slate and I will have him in virtually every lineup I make.
Stud Pivot: Christian McCaffrey, Derick Henry, Saquon Barkley (I don’t feel great about it but he is in a good, not great, spot)
Value RB: DeAndre Washington ($6,300 FD) or Josh Jacobs ($7,700 FD)
I like whoever starts but we do not have the official word yet.
We have to watch Josh Jacobs’ news. As I write this he is questionable. IF Jacobs is out I will be locking Washington into my main lineup against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense who has given up on the season. The Jags head to the west coast to get thumped by the Raiders in their last home game ever in Oakland. The Raiders win this game and whoever starts at the running back should give a great day. If Josh Jacobs is starting, feels free to roll him out too.
Update: If it is announced the RB’s will have a 50/50 split, I might have to get off of both of them.
NFL DFS Punts/High Risk: Phillip Lindsay (you can run on KC), Patrick Laird (DraftKings)
I will update again closer to Sunday. Be sure to check back.
Wide Receiver
Stud WR: Chris Godwin ($8,400 FD)
Mike Evans is out and Chris Godwin should get fed by Jameis Winston against the Detroit Lions. Our issue all season has been trying to choose bet which Buccaneers wide receiver will put up 30 points, and usually getting it wrong because of the unpredictability of the Tampa QB. Well, that problem is no more. I can’t believe I can actually type Chris Godwin is safe in NFL DFS, but that is the case this week IF we have a healthy Jameis Winston (he has been dealing with a hurt hand).
Stud Pivots: DeAndre Hopkins, Kenny Golladay, Devante Adams
Mid WR: A.J. Brown ($6,200 FD)
I hate chasing points but if I am playing Ryan Tannehill I am pairing him with A.J. Brown. Houston is absolutely terrible defending the wide receiver. I was astounded at how bad they looked last week. Brown is going to be the top targeted receiver in Nashville this Sunday and has a very reasonable price tag. If he just gets in the end zone once OR gets 100 yards, he pays off in NFL DFS. If he does both, we are making a lot of money.
Pivots: Jarvis Landry, DJ Moore, Tyler Lockett/DK Metcalf, Deebo Samuel, Sterling Shepard (plenty of options in the mid-tier)
NFL DFS Punt Wide Receivers: Terry McLaurin, Danny Amendola, Larry Fitzgerald, Will Fuller (questionable now), Justin Watson
Tight End Rankings
- Zach Ertz
- Darren Waller
- Ian Thomas
- Tyler Higbee
- Mike Gesicki
- Dallas Goedert
- Jonnu Smith (punt territory)
Note: George Kittle is in a great NFL DFS spot, but Jimmy G spreads it around so much, and I don’t think they need to rely on the Big Man in what should be an easy win.
Tight End Pivots: Zach Ertz, George Kittle, David Njoku
Defense
- Patriots
- 49ers
- Chiefs
- Punt: Raiders
- Punt: Giants
I will tweet out when there are NFL DFS updates. Be sure to follow me @tenaciousdjones on Twitter so you don’t miss out!
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