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David Jones took down the Week 8 Monday Night Showdown which is the fourth time he has won it the past five contests.
David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here
I want to start off this article by saying you must have the absolute nuts to win the top prize up top on large field GPPs. There is no room for mistakes with so many entries in these contests. If you think you are going to win it all by playing a combo of the top seven guys in the player pool, you are not. If a combo of a bunch of guys you have heard of before is indeed the best scoring lineup, you will most likely tie for first. If that sounds good to you, then go for it. It will be profitable if you nail it, but for me, I like to be a little different on these slates. I will be making multiple teams and taking long shots on a few cheap guys.
Leaving cash on the table in these NFL DFS contests is fine too. This makes your lineup even more unique and lower owned because a lot of amateurs will be pulling their hair out to use their entire salary.
That all being said, I have looked at every possible player that can get on the field and listed my picks below.
The NFL DFS SUPER BOWL Showdown Picks
It may seem obvious but on FanDuel you want the highest scoring player in the MVP slot. On Draftkings it is different, you want the best value. These picks were made with Fanduel pricing.
MVP: Patrick Mahomes ($16,000 FD) Quarterbacks are normally what wins it at the MVP spot on FanDuel and we have one of the best in the game playing. I wish I had a “cute” top pick for MVP, but I do not. Although I expect the 49ers offense to be on the field more here, Mahomes moves the ball when he gets a chance. The San Fran D is tough, but not unbeatable. Mahomes has a great receiver in Hill, a top TE in Kelce and also has a big pass catching weapon coming out of the backfield in Damien Williams. He in all likelihood will be the highest scoring player on the slate. Reminder, this is for FanDuel. On DraftKings I would likely pay down.
MVP Pivot: Tyreek Hill ($12,000 FD) Besides, Damien Williams, Hill has the best potential for multiple touchdowns which is what you are going to need if Mahomes isn’t the MVP. Sometimes he let’s us down, but sometimes he goes off. He is simply too fast and I am certain Andy Reid has a couple deep routes all lineup up for him.
MVP 2: Raheem Mostert ($13,500 FD) If you want a SanFran player for your MVP spot it is Raheem Mostert. You can run on KC much easier than pass on them. I am also a believer that the 49ers plan this week is run the football and keep Mahomes off the field. This game should be close in my opinion, which means more ground game for the scareltt red and gold.
If you are considering taking a 49ers receiver for MVP you might as well take Jimmy G. I like him a lot better on DraftKings.
Flex Options: Listed in order of preference
- Damien Williams ($14,000 FD) I feel like he has trouble running the ball here, but will do his job in the pass game. He has been steadily producing all playoffs and will be a big part of the KC offensive game plan.
- Deebo Samuel ($8,500 FD) Hello underpriced Deebo. I love him this Sunday. He is “arguably” there best receiver on the 49ers and lately he has been getting involved with the run. He has a 14 yard rush prop and is one of my favorite players to get in the end zone. He is on my main lineup.
- Jimmy Garoppolo ($14,000 FD) His latest stats are frightening. But this is the Super Bowl and he is the quarterback of the team that I THINK will win. He is a better play on DK where he is way underpriced. On Fanduel he is not a priority for me largely due to being the third highest priced option. I am making multiple lineups and will have some Jimmy G, just not a ton.
- George Kittle ($11,500 FD) He has a much easier matchup at the TE position than Travis Kelce, so if I can only fit one it is going to be Kittle.
- Emmanuel Sanders ($10,000 FD) Big game playmaker in a big game. If you go the route of him and Samuel (or Kittle) you have just committed to a 49ers stack and you need to highly consider play Jimmy G with them two receivers/TEs. This will not be my route, but it makes sense if you are heavy on the 49ers pass atack.
- Travis Kelce ($12,500 FD) I prefer Hill but will have some Kelce as well. I have mentioned it before, you do not want them both on the same team.
- Robbie Gould ($9,000 FD) A steady kicker. He is a better play on DK, but I will have some on FanDuel.
- Kendrick Bourne ($7,000 FD) One of my sweetheart receivers this year. I won a showdown with him earlier this season and will be over weight on him this Sunday. He is just as likely to get a redzone target as Deebo or Sanders and he is cheaper. I know he will not get the volume as the other two guys, but all it takes is a big play or two.
- Mecole Hardman ($6,000 FD) Way too cheap. Great salary saver.
- Harrison Butker ($9,500 FD) Chiefs kicker
- Demarcus Robinson ($6,500 FD) I prefer Hardman, but Robinson has shown some promise this season. He is capable of catching a big pass or two. I like pairing one of these cheap receivers with Mahomes.
- Kyle Juszczyk ($6,000 FD) Much better play on DK where he is $1,200. Desperate play on Fanduel, but he is on the field quite a bit. He is a guy targeted in the redzone and used in the pass game out of the backfield. If Coleman is struggling to participate in the pass game, Kyle might get his number called more.
Punts:
- Tevin Coleman ($10,000 FD) I just can’t get to him much in this spot at this price. He is dealing with a nagging shoulder injury, and I know he is going to play, but the question is will he be effective enough to pay off 10K? I don’t think so.
- Matt Breida ($7,500 FD) Perhaps my favorite Milli Maker play because he is SO boom or bust. IF Coleman is struggling, AND Breida gets hot, the 49ers should keep him in. In the first playoff game it was Coleman for the 49ers, in the second it was Mostert, what will happen in the third? I’ll take some shots on Breida.
- Ross Dwelley ($5,500 FD) Kittle is in a great spot, but that means Dwelley is too. This is a punt play that could get a 0, but if Kittle has to come off the field for any reason then Dwelley will be sitting in the weeds, waiting to attack.
- Darwin Thompson ($6,000 FD) I’ll have one on a team that doesn’t have Damien Williams in a Dooms Day scenario.
- Jeff Wilson ($5,000 FD) He might get one crack at the end zone. Even if he scores from the one yard line, I don’t think it will be enough to win a million dollars, which I plan on doing.
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