Tuesday 11/3 UCL DFS and Best Bet

This article focuses on 11/3 UCL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large.

Tuesday 11/3 UCL Slate and DFS Gameplan

Let’s get ready for Matchweek 3/6 of the Champion’s League Group Stages with a six game slate beginning at 3:00 p.m. ET.

Two Big Favorites – Manchester City and Bayern Munich

This slate is largely defined by two huge favorites in Manchester City at -560 and Bayern Munich at -305. They face off with Greek outfit Olympiacos and Austrian team Red Bull Salzburg, respectively. If looking to go the stacking route or even putting together two man mini-stacks, pulling from these two teams probably makes the most sense.

I would expect both Robert Lewandowski and Kevin De Bruyne to be very popular on both sites with Joshua Kimmich right there on DraftKings.

Behind them, for Manchester City, Fernan Torres has a nice price on both sites so should eclipse Raheem Sterling, Riyad Mahrez, and Phil Foden in terms of ownership.

As for Bayern, besides Lewandowski and Kimmich, Serge Gnabry, Kingsley Coman, and Thomas Muller, are all options.

Ajax

However, we can also get great value elsewhere. Ajax is favored away at lowly FC Midtjylland and is extremely cheap on both sites. This Lassina Traore has been a monster in the Dutch league, the Eriedivisie, so his $7 price tag on FanDuel is laughable. This Antony, a young Brazilian forward, hasn’t been a slouch either and is very affordable. Ajax has had a lot of turnover in the last few years, but that has resulted in some little known names who are priced rather cheaply.

Real Madrid vs. Inter Milan

Turning to Real Madrid/Inter Milan, given these two teams woes early on in the Champion’s League Group Stages, this game will have a lot of added significance. A Cinderella team from the Ukraine, Shaktar Donetsk, currently leads the group after 2/6 matches.

Beginning with the Real Madrid side, on FanDuel, Eden Hazard, who cost million Real Madrid $160 million a little over a year ago, costs the minimum of $5. Marco Ascensio is also cheap there at $13. With Karim Benzema $22 on FanDuel, I’d rather play him on DraftKings for the $8,100 price tag.

Aside from Hazard, perhaps my favorite play from Real Madrid is Marcelo on DraftKings. He continues to rack up the peripheral stats anytime he is in. Sergio Ramos is always in play for tournaments given his role as the penalty kick taker.

On the other side, Romelu Lukaku is out for Inter Milan, so Lautaro Martinez will likely operate as the lone striker. I think this team on the whole makes more sense on DraftKings, where it gives you a ton of cheap midfielders who can all get you from around seven to ten points. If going the stars and scrubs route, one or two of them might come in handy.

Liverpool v. Atalanta

The Atalanta/Liverpool game should be a good one. Usually, Atalanta is a DFS darling with their fast paced, open play style. However, given the matchups, I prefer Liverpool as a contrarian way to go.

Atalanta’s defensive liabilities puts the forwards Mohammed Salah, Sadio Mane, and Diego Jota in play as pivots off of some of the other high priced options. The two high-flying wing defensemen Andy Robertson and Trent Alexander-Arnold are expensive, but are both capable of big games here. That said, I wouldn’t force them into your build on either site as I am not sure they are optimal on this slate.

The final game, Porto v. Marseilles, is the least interesting for DFS. A Moussa Marega one off here/there is fine, but this is not somewhere I would try to go overboard.

UCL Best Bet

Man City + Bayern Munich (-167 total) DraftKings Sportsbook – 2 Units*

DraftKings | FanDuel

The Betting Game Plan

This strikes me as a straightforward, two unit bet, on a pair of teams that are in the best spots on the slate “more above”.

11/3 UCL FanDuel Rankings

Forward/Midfield

• 1. Lassina Traore – Ajax – $7
• 2. Eden Hazard – Real Madrid – $5
• 3. Robert Lewandowski – Bayern – $23
• 4. Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $22
• 5. Antony – Ajax – $14
• 6. Ferran Torres – Manchester City – $16
• 7. Serge Gnabry – Bayern Munich – $19
• 8. Mohammed Salah – Liverpool – $21
• 9. Lautaro Martinez – Inter Milan – $18
• 10. Joshua Kimmich – Bayern Munich – $16
• 11. Marco Asensio – Real Madrid – $13
• 12. Karim Benzema – Real Madrid – $22
• 13. Kinglsey Coman – Bayern Munich – $20
• 14. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $20
• 15. Phil Foden – Manchester City – $15
• 16. Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $17 “Bump up if Kevin De Bruyne out”
• 17. Sadio Mane – Liverpool – $19
• 18. Moussa Marega – Porto – $16
• 19. Thomas Muller – Bayern Munich – $18
• 20. Diego Jota – Liverpool – $17

Defense

• 1. Nathaniel Phillips – Liverpool – $5
• 2. Diogo Leite – Porto – $5
• 3. Jerome Boateng – Bayern Munich – $6
• 4. Andy Robertson – Liverpool – $14
• 5. Trent Alexander-Arnold – Liverpool – $15

Goalies

1. Kjell Scherpen – Ajax – $5
2. Ederson – Manchester City – $14
3. Manuel Neuer – Bayern Munich – $13

11/3 UCL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

1. Lassina Traore – Ajax – $6,400
2. Antony – Ajax – $6,700
3. Lautaro Martinez – Inter Milan – $6,500
4. Mohammed Salah – Liverpool – $8,400
5. Robert Lewandowski – Bayern Munich – $11,200
6. Karim Benzema – Real Madrid – $8,100
7. Kinglsey Coman – Bayern Munich – $8,500
8. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $8,800
9. Thomas Muller – Bayern Munich – $7,600
10. Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $8,600 “Bump up several spots if Kevin De Bruyne out”
11. Eden Hazard – Real Madrid – $5,700
12. Moussa Marega – Porto – $7,200
13. Sadio Mane – Liverpool – $8,000
14. Diego Jota – Liverpool – $7,100
15. Marco Asensio – Real Madrid – $7,400

Midfield

• 1. Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $10,900 “might not start and this is possibility a chance to rest him, just an FYI”
• 2. Joshua Kimmich – Bayern Munich – $8,200
• 3. Serge Gnabry – Bayern Munich – $7,800
• 4. Christian Eriksen – Inter Milan – $6,200 “if starting”
• 5. Mohammed Salah – Liverpool – $8,400
• 6. Fernan Torres – Manchester City – $6,500
• 7. Phil Foden – Manchester City – $7,100
• 8. Kingsley Coman – Bayern Munich – $8,500
• 9. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $8,800
• 10. Thomas Muller – Bayern Munich – $7,600
• 11. Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $8,600 “Bump up several spots if Kevin De Bruyne out”
• 12. Eden Hazard – Real Madrid – $5,700
• 13. Ashley Young – Inter Milan – $5,100
• 14. Achraf Hakimi – Inter Milan – $5,700
• 15. Arturo Vidal – Inter Milan – $3,900
• 16. Marcelo Brozovic – Inter Milan – $3,800
• 17. Nicolo Barela – Inter Milan – $4,200
• 18. Sadio Mane – Liverpool – $8,000
• 19. Diego Jota – Liverpool – $7,100
• 20. Dimitri Payet – Marseilles – $6,100
• 21. Alejandro Gomez – Atalanta – $8,700

Defense

• 1. Marcelo – Real Madrid – $5,800
• 2. Aleksander Kolarov – Inter Milan – $4,000
• 3. Ferland Mendy – Real Madrid – $4,500
• 4. Andy Robertson – Liverpool – $6,900
• 5. Trent Alexander-Arnold – Liverpool – $6,600
• 6. Benjamin Pavard – Bayern Munich – $5,100
• 7. Sergio Ramos – Real Madrid – $4,900
• 8. Theo Hernandez – Bayern Munich – $5,300
• 9. Johan Mojica – Atalanta – $2,500
• 10. Anything lower, just punt with preference for any defenders playing out on the wings once lineups come out.

Goalies

1. Ederson – Man City – $5,900
2. Manuel Neuer – Bayern Munich – $5,700

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