Here we go, it’s time for the second half of the back-to-back of our first mid-week EPL slate of the season.
There are five matches and for the second time in a row, both Liverpool and Manchester City share the slate.
Without any further adieu, let’s dig in!
Wednesday 8/31 EPL
Match Odds
Wolves (+115) at Bournemouth (+260)
Aston Villa (+600) at Arsenal (-220)
Nottingham Forest (+2200) at Manchester City (-1200)
Tottenham (+100) at West Ham (+265)
Newcastle (+900) at Liverpool (-350)
8/31 EPL Top Plays
DraftKings/FanDuel Forward
Phil Foden – Manchester City – $8,700/$19 – For a slight dip in price from any of the other regular projected starting forwards on the top two teams, it makes sense to settle on Foden. He is getting the lesser split of set pieces with Kevin De Bruyne but perhaps has more open-field potential than his set-piece counterpart.
By comparison, All three of the Liverpool forwards cost more and are goal or nothing in terms of their scoring nature. Furthermore, City has a much better matchup than Liverpool. As far as Foden’s City counterparts Haaland is always in play but with his price likely tournament only.
Of note, young forward Julian Alvarez may be debuting for Man City and at $5,900 if in, even if subbed early, he should be a cash lock for your second forward spot and a great way to save money at the position.
Pivots:
DraftKings – Julian Alvarez – Manchester City – $5,900 “PUNT”, Luis Diaz – Liverpool – $9,100, Mohammed Salah – Liverpool – $9,900, DraftKings, Harry Kane – Tottenham – $9,700
FanDuel – Harry Kane – Tottenham – $20, Luis Diaz – Liverpool – $19, Mohammed Salah – Liverpool – $21, Gabriel Jesus – Arsenal – $19, Julian Alvarez – Manchester City – $16
DraftKings/FanDuel Midfielder
Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $10,400/$19 – For a second consecutive slate, De Bruyne ranks as the top midfielder. Manchester City comes in a whopping -1200 money line favorite hosting promoted side, Nottingham Forest.
Between his role on set pieces and chances of adding an assist/goal, once again he will be popular. It’s really a matter of how the City and Liverpool lineups shake out.
Pivots:
DraftKings – Marcus Tavernier – Bournemouth – $4,500 “Punt”, Bukayo Saka – Arsenal – $7,100
FanDuel – Phil Foden – Manchester City – $20, Bukayo Saka – Arsenal – $17
DraftKings Defender
Kieran Tierney – Arsenal – $4,400 – We need some savings to make things work. Kiernan Tierney is working his way back into fitness but is projected to start as of the time of writing. Given his role as a wing defender for -220 money line favorite Arsenal, this is a solid value.
Pivots: Trent Alexander-Arnold – Liverpool – $7,600, Jonny – Wolves – $4,700, Aaron Cresswell – West Ham – $4,800, Vladimir Coufal – West Ham – $4,200
FanDuel Defender
Scott McKenna – Nottingham Forest – $8 – You can rack up a lot of points on FanDuel as a central defender with your team under fire. That is the objective here and hopefully, the clearances are many. I also like Kieran Tierney for $8 as very cheap “don’t mind the game logs on FanDuel, three of those matches he only played ten minutes or less”.
Pivots: Kieran Tierney – Arsenal – $8, John Stones – Manchester City – $8, Joe Gomez – Liverpool – $8
DraftKings/FanDuel Goalie
Ederson – Manchester City – $6,000/$15 – City is an insane favorite on this slate so you either pay up or go all the way down. On FanDuel, I think you spend for the certainty and if you have the $ on DraftKings, just do it.
Pivot: Neto – Bournemouth – $4,300 – He will be making his EPL debut after arriving from Barcelona and Wolves are no offensive powerhouse. If fading City or Liverpool attackers, you can roll with Dean Henderson or Nick Pope but I see that more as a tournament-only tactic and only under those circumstances.
EPL Top Bet
Bet- Tottenham “Draw No Bet” (-210)/Liverpool ML (-340) – (-110 total odds) DraftKings – 1 Unit
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