After a long time away, it is finally time for the return of the Champion’s League Group Stages.
As we dive into UCL MatchWeek One below, we will analyze the match odds, single out players on each site in every price range and even provide a top bet.
Tuesday 9/6 UCL
Maccabi Haifa (+1100) at Benfica (-425)
Real Madrid (-160) at Celtic (+425)
AC Milan (+105) at RB Salzburg (+265)
Juventus (+750) at PSG (-290)
Shaktar Donetsk (+1100) atRB Leipzig (-450)
Manchester City (-275) at Sevilla(+750)
9/6 UCL Top Plays
Timo Werner – RB Leipzig – $7,800 – Leipzig comes in as one of the two biggest favorites on the slate hosting Shaktar Donetsk. Nevertheless, we get a decent price break on their star striker back on loan with the club where helped earn his huge transfer fee. His teammate, Christopher Nkunku has a higher floor with a small role on set pieces but also costs nearly $3,000 more and shares set pieces so no monopoly “more on that below he shares with two people”. Furthermore, on a Champion’s League slate like this with many large favorites, goals will be needed. For a little more you could turn to Benfica’s forwards such as David Neres ($9,700) or Goncalo Ramos ($8,200). On the high, high end, PSG is a -290 money line favorite hosting Juventus but their stars are $11,000 or above aside from Messi at $9,900.
David Neres – Benfica – $18 – David Neres “mentioned above” comes in a bit cheaper on FanDuel relatively speaking and I do give Benfica’s matchup the slight nod over Leipzig’s. RB’s opponent Shaktar has a world of Champion’s League Experience as compared to the Israeli team Benfica will be hosting. Neres was stellar in the Champion’s League Group Stage qualifiers. The PSG stars are also much more in play on FanDuel than DraftKings as they are much closer in price.
FanDuel – Junior Messias -AC Milan – $14 “low-end”, Timo Werner – RB Leipzig – $19 “mid-range”, Kylian Mbappe – PSG – $20 “high-end”
Midfielder and FanDuel Second Forward/Midfielder
Dominik Szoboszlai – RB Leipzig – $6,300 – Wow, what an underprice. Szoboszlai is one of the set piece takers for RB Leipzig and an up and coming star. As mentioned under Timo Werner’s writeup, Leipzig is heavily favored and should control much of the possession and attack leading to a lot of opportunities.
FanDuel Second Forward/Midfielder
Dominik Szoboszlai – RB Leipzig – $16 – Not as juicy as on DraftKings, but this may be the best bargain on FanDuel. As the part set piece taker for Leipzig in a forward role, there is a lot of upside here for a mid range price. Leipzig also provides another value forward in Emil Forsberg if looking for further quality savings.
FanDuel – Emil Forsberg – RB Leipzig – $12 “low-end”, Timo Werner – RB Leipzig – $19 “mid-range”, Kylian Mbappe – PSG – $20 “high-end”
Alejandro Grimaldo – Benfica – $6,000 – Given his role on set pieces and Benfica’s status as a heavy favorite and Alejandro Grimaldo was perhaps the first person in my DK lineup. He will be very popular in all formats so a scratch in most instances, but popular for good reason.
Sergio Gomez – Manchester City – $4,400 “low-end”, Gilberto/Alexander Bah – Benfica – $5,400/$4,900 “mid-range”, David Raum – RB Leipzig – $6,700 “high-end”
Antonio “listed with his full super long name” Silva – Benfica – $5– Min price defender playing for a big favorite with solid clean sheet odds. This position is not great per the usual on FanDuel so better off punting.
Sergio Gomez – Manchester City – $8, Nathan Ake – Manchester City – $9“everyone is low-end”
Odysseas Vlachodimos – Benfica – $5,900/$8 – Easily the best clean sheet and win odds for minimally more in price than the other goaltenders.
Pivot: Peter Gulacsi – RB Leipzig -$5,800/$11
UCL Top Bet
Bet – Parlay – Benfica ML/RB Leipzig ML/Real Madrid “Draw No Bet” (-116) DraftKings – 1 Unit -It’s been awhile since we had a parlay for our best bet but with some of the odds this makes sense.
Rich Masana is a real money daily fantasy player and sports bettor who plays DFS on DraftKings under the username “JetsFan303” and on FanDuel under the username “JetsFan3032”. Rich has been ranked as high as in the top 3% of all DFS players according to Rotogrinders.com and has lifetime profitability across all of the applicable betting sites since legalization in Colorado in 2020. Rich does not guarantee the accuracy of all advice and reserves the right to use different players on occasion as necessary to fit roster builds. You can reach him on Twitter @JFan303 or on Discord at @RichMasana