To say this is an ugly slate for pitchers would be an understatement. I can’t remember having so many pitchers that I don’t trust in one particular article, so treading the waters lightly here is going to be key. With that said, there were five guys that I found suitable for recommendation, so with that in mind, let’s get into our 8/30 DFS Pitching options.
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Finding a cash game pitcher was tough with the matchups but Bumgarner probably has the highest floor of any pitcher on this slate. That’s evident by the fact that Bum has at least 24 FanDuel points in 19 of his last 22 starts. Two of those were at Coors Field and versus the Dodgers, so it’s clear that he’s in top form right now. The reason we like him today is because he gets to face a weak offense at home.
Let’s begin with Mad Bum’s splits, with the left-hander generating a 2.95 ERA, 0.93 WHIP and 8.9 K/9 rate at Oracle Park this season. That’s no surprise when you consider that San Fran has the best pitching environment in the Majors and that spells disaster for an offense like the Padres. In fact, San Diego currently ranks 27th in K rate, 26th in runs scored, 28th in xwOBA and 23rd in both OBP and OPS.
8/30 DFS Pitching GPP Plays
Anibal Sanchez, WSH vs. MIA
DK ($8,800) FD ($7,700)
Alright, let’s get into these questionable starters. Sanchez is just that but he’s shown some signs of a resurgence the last two seasons. In that two-year span, Sanchez is pitching to a 3.31 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. That’s really all you can ask for from a pitcher who’s coming off of the best start of his season, allowing just one hit across 8.1 innings against the Chicago Cubs. That Cubbies matchup is a lot tougher than this one, with the Marlins ranked bottom-two in runs scored, OBP, OPS and xwOBA. That was crystal clear in Sanchez’s last start against Miami on July 4, with the right-hander pitching six one-run innings. Vegas couldn’t agree more with our assessment, making the Nationals a –270 favorite in this tasty matchup.
Dinelson Lamet, SD at SF
DK ($10.700) FD ($8,200)
Lamet is probably my favorite play on the board, as he truly has some of the best upside on this slate. The reason for that is because of his stellar strikeout stuff, with Lamet posting a 30.2 percent K rate this season and a 29 percent K rate for his career. Those are simply some of the best averages around and it’s backed up by a 3.80 xFIP.
While he is a bit volatile, it’s hard to overlook the fact that he’s never allowed more than four runs in all nine starts this season, striking out at least five batters in each one too. That’s truly scary for an offense like this, with the Giants ranked 24th in runs scored, 27th in OBP and 26th in both wOBA and OPS. That’s why we’re looking at a measly total of 7.5 in this pitcher-friendly park, as both of these guys should be great bets to throw a quality start with potential for double-digit Ks.
8/30 DFS Pitching Punt Plays
Kyle Gibson, MIN at DET
DK ($9,500) FD ($8,400)
Nobody is going to use Gibson at this price and that’s why I consider him a punt play. I don’t think I’ve used Gibson once all season long but anyone is worth considering against the Tigers. The reason for that is because the Motor City Kitties currently rank last in runs scored, OBP, K rate and xwOBA. That’s why anyone is worth playing against them, particularly an average arm like Gibson.
The Twins right-hander has been better than we’re giving him credit for, scoring at least 23 FanDuel points in 16 of his last 23 starts. The duds came against teams like the Red Sox, Rays, Yankees, Indians and Brewers, as he’s plenty capable of controlling an offense like this. In his two starts against Detroit this season, Gibson has eight Ks in each, averaging 29 FanDuel points per game. Not to mention, he and the Twins enter this matchup as a –300 favorite.
Max Fried, ATL vs. CWS
DK ($7,500) FD ($8,800)
Let’s cap things off with another great matchup. Any time an A.L. team travels to face an N.L. team, you have to consider picking a pitcher against them, especially one as bad as the White Sox. Chicago currently ranks 28th in runs scored, 25th in OPB, 27th in OPS, 26th in K rate and 25th in both wOBA and xwOBA. That’s really frightening with them losing a DH here and that should really benefit a guy like Fried.
The Braves southpaw currently has a 14-4 record to match his 4.03 ERA. 3.46 xFIP and 24 percent K rate. That’s really all you can ask for from a player in this price range with such a good matchup. The lefty has been feeling it recently too, scoring at least 21 FanDuel points in 10-straight starts while averaging 35.1 fantasy points per game in that span. The odds completely agree, making Fried a –200 favorite in this fantastic matchup.
Since we love both of these guys, we have to like these props. I anticipate both of these guys pitching at least six innings in this spacious ballpark and that would have them on pace for 15 Ks between them if they maintain their K rates. That shouldn’t be an issue against bad offenses like this and I wouldn’t be afraid to get some money on the under too.
I've been playing fantasy sports since I was 12, which means I've been playing for over half of my life. I love DFS and season-long formats and have been writing for nearly a decade. I started my writing career at RotoWire and currently write for FantasyPros, Rotoballer, Razzball and DFSR. I cover NBA, MLB and NFL and follow all major sports. I generally cover primarily DFS but I also do game previews, recaps, player write-ups, injury updates etc.