Steven Polardi 
ZOZO Championship Ownership Projections
Greetings Jason Kokrak fans! This weeks PGA tour takes us to California and Sherwood Country Club for the ZoZo Championship, scheduled farther out in the Pacific (Japan) but dialed back into the US due to pandemic issues. This is a no cut event, and Dustin Johnson is out from Covid, and Adam Scott just withdrew, Tony Finau is back, as well as some guy named a Tiger who used to play a while back. Let’s breakdown the ZOZO Championship Ownership Projections.
Last week I had Jason Kokrak in 9 of my lineups, (thanks Isaiah), my model liked Bubba Watson and Russel Henley, and I was on Palmer as well. On Thursday morning before lock I read a blip that said Kokrak has never won in 233 starts, and in over ten years never sniffed a trophy, so I promptly pulled him out of 7 lineups. I ended up +600, and considered last week a loss due to the fact that if I stayed with Kokrak I would have made 14 times that. Sometimes we tinker with lineups and get the above results, sometimes we tinker and get hot and get paid well, then we are all suddenly a genius and know everything about DFS, for at least another week anyway.
This course is only 7000 yards with 5 par 5s and 5 par 3s with major scoring potential, ownership will be important with a small no cut field to differentiate between winning 1st place or sharing 1st place with 3000 strangers, let’s take a look at the ZOZO Championship Ownership Projections.
The golfer with the highest ownership by a longshot is Webb Simpson sitting at 22.6% +, Justin Thomas is next at 20.7% closely followed by Jon Rahm at 19.9%, Rory has jumped to 18.3%, (a lot of Adam Scott ownership moved his way.) Xander is next at 17.7%, then it drops to Matt Wolff at 15.9%, NOTE: Matthew Wolff went to high school 7 miles from this course, he knows it well. Tyrrell Hatton is 15.6%, Joaquin Niemann is 15.1%, Collin Morikawa is 14.5%, and is reportedly seeking medical treatment for hallucinations, he is allegedly seeing Patrick “Sharps” Scott behind every palm tree, on a totally unrelated note Patrick has palm fronds available for sale for all your holiday decoration needs. Harris English is 14.2%, Sebastian Munoz is 14.1%, pretty high for his salary range, Daniel Berger is 13.4%, Patrick Reed is 13.2%, Russell Henley and Victor Hovland, a favorite of Sia’s, is at 12.9%, Lanto Griffin is 12.6%, Cameron Smith is 12.5%, Sungjae Im is 12.4%, Hideki Matsuyama is 12.1%, Matthew Fitzpatrick and Abraham Ancer are 11.3%, Brian Harmon is 11.2%, some old geezer named Tiger and Scottie Scheffler are both at 11.1%, Ryan Palmer and Brendan Todd are at 10.8%, Paul Casey is 10.5%, Patrick Cantlay is 10.4%.
Golfers under 10% Ownership:
Bubba Watson is 9.8%,( last week I had him as a pick in my report, he finished 7th. Sia and I both like him again this week, he has a sweet fade shot which this course supports) Billy Horschel is 9.7% and I like him this week, Justin Rose and Kevin Kisner are at 9%, Talor Gooch, a favorite of Michaels, is 8.4%, Adam Hadwin is 8.2%, Kevin Na and Rickie Fowler are at 8.1%, Rickie has dropped a lot in salary and ownership, his play has dictated this downward trend, and Michaels grandmother is still disappointed. Matt Kuchar is 7.4%, Kevin Na, Jordan Spieth, Tony Finau, Mackenzie Hughes and Gary Woodland are all at 7%. Jason Kokrak and Tommy Fleetwood are at 6.8%, Kevin Streelman is 6.7%, Joel Dahmen is 6.6%, Corey Conners is 6%.
Golfers under 5% Ownership:
Jason Day and Cameron Champ are 4.6%, Harry Higgs is 4.3%, Alex Noren is 4%, Mark Hubbard is 3.7%, Danny Lee and Dylan Frittelli are 3.4%, Brendan Steele, B An, and Phil Mickelson are 3.3%, Adam Long is 3.2%, Tyler Duncan is 3%. Tom Hoge is 2.9%, Marc Leishman is 2.3%, Carlos Ortiz is 2.2% and Richy Werenski is 2.2% (another good sleeper).
Golfers under 2% Ownership:
Nick Taylor is 1.8%, Andrew Landry is 1.4%, Jazz Janewattananond is 1.1%, Takumi Kanaya is 1%. A golfer of note is Michael Thompson at .0039%.
All other golfers including Thompson are under 1% at the time of this report.
Picks for the ZoZo Championship
Jon Rahm is my golfer of choice for the top end, he has a 37% chance to be in the top optimal lineup, I’ll be overweight on him.
In the mid range I’m going with Patrick Reed and Collin Morikawa, their recent metrics have been ultra solid and Reeds eye should fit this course.
In the lower end I like Richy Werenski and Kevin Kisner. They are low owned and can allow salary relief and have 15% or better to hit top 20 results.
My out in left field play this week is Takumi Kanaya, the former #1 amateur who placed 7th in his first start as a pro. He’s low owned and he has the game to get birdies which means points.
Please review the articles by Sia, Antonio, Isaiah, Patrick and myself for more in depth analysis, and don’t miss the live cast on Tuesday evenings featuring Michael, Sia and Joel. I will be in the Discord Channel to answer any questions and to assist with roster construction or player intel.
Thanks for taking the time to review this article, we appreciate it, and as always, I hope to be with you, in the money.
