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ZOZO Championship: Initial Picks
Another 78 person field and another opportunity to jam in upside at a no-cut event. We will bring you much more in the next 24 hours with articles and our expert chat, and of course, the Tuesday PGA Livestream at 8:00 EST @windailysports on Twitter and YouTube and Twitch. We have a relatively short course this week with five Par 5’s and five Par 3’s. I’d focus on birdie makers and APP here but you will also want to factor in accuracy OTT as there are some trouble spots on most of the holes. Here are my ZOZO Championship: Initial Picks.
Jon Rahm (11000) – The entire team was on Xander last week and that worked out just fine, but this week I’m going to pivot from Xander to Rahm in the elite range. Rahm was average last week (17th) and hopefully that keeps his ownership reasonable.
Justin Thomas (10600) – Another guy I like in the elite tier. His APP game is best in the field and last week’s 12th place finish felt like a tune-up. If he can get the putter going at all you will see him contending late Sunday afternoon.
Patrick Reed (9600) – Haven’t heard from him much lately but let’s not forget the last time we did see him as at the U.S. Open where he finished 13th. He’s also enjoyed great success on comparable courses.
Viktor Hovland (9200) – One of my top guys last week and he quietly finished in 12th. He gained over 3 strokes ball striking last week and even gained strokes ARG which is his alleged weakness.
Bubba Watson (8700) – Literally the first time I’ve ever had Bubba in a write-up, but the guy has earned it. His ball striking has been elite lately and it’s looking like his ownership percentage will be below 10% which is notable given the price range and the number of players in the field.
Joaquin Niemann (8400) – Can go hot and cold but was great last week and has the type of upside you want. This is a great price for a guy in great form and a great course fit. I may sprinkle some on Joaquin for an outright win.
Russell Henley (8100) – I didn’t have as many shares as I should have last week and it cost me. He continues to be priced low and therefore needs to be considered as his ball striking has been great lately. Normally I’d suggest his upside is limited, but that’s hard to argue as he finished 3rd last week. Be careful here as he picked up a ton of strokes putting last week. Still, even if putter cools down, the value is good at this price.
Sebastian Munoz (7200) – A pretty low price for a guy that has been making cuts at an incredible rate and who has the ability to finish Top 10 as he proved last week. We may be looking at a guy who is ready to consistently be in the conversation, so I’m going to jump aboard while he’s still cheap.
Joel Dahmen (6500) – In a no-cut event I’m looking for a guy who can string a very low round together and Dahmen is that guy. His blow up spot won’t cost you too much relative to the scoring potential he has all four days.
Secret Weapon (Sub 6k/Less than 5% owned) – see you in Discord.
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