Michael Rasile 
UFC 249 Picks
Y2JAYWEEZY’s UFC 249 Picks
Here are the UFC 249 Picks for the May 9th fights.
Check the website for other UFC Picks.
Spann 9300 vs Alvey 6900
Sam Alvey is basically a gatekeeper in the UFC nowadays. Too keep this short and sweet Spann will win this fight with ease but at his price he has to get a first round KO. I believe he can do it but won’t be so heavy on him in my lineups.
WINNER – SPANN
Mitchell 8500 vs Rosa 7700
This fight is between two tough grapplers in the UFC. Both of these guys could submit each other in the first round. Mitchell doesn’t throw strikes at a high volume and if this fight stays in the feet that worries me. Rosa is a BJJ black belt and a great submission grappler. My pick is Rosa just because he has a better pedigree of Jui Jitsu and a better striker if this fight was to stay on the feet. Mitchell is an undefeated fighter so keep that in mind when making lineups. His only finish is a submission and Rosa has never been submitted.
WINNER – Rosa
Luque 9000 vs Price 7200
This is a very interesting rematch. Luque was able to get the submission against price in their last bout. Luque is a very high volume striker with good submissions. Price is a wildcard. He has power to finish a fight he probably could finish Luque. With Luque at 9000 he has to finish to meet value. Price at 7200 could meet value easy but only play him if you think he can upset Luque based off your own research. I’m thinking Luque gets this done nice and easy.
WINNER – Luque
Esparza 8400 vs Waterson 7800
Both of these fighters have a grappling based approach. In a win they most likely won’t meet value. They don’t throw strikes at a high volume or don’t have any KO power. This fight will be a decision most likely and the winner might be Esparza based on the odds. I’m picking Waterson just because she has a better striking output than Esparza.
WINNER – Waterson
Werdum 9200 vs Oleinik 7000
Werdum is pretty much a lock for me. He is just a 10 times better version than Oleinik. He should get the finish easy. Keep in mind Oleinik is a sneaky submission artist but Werdum is a former heavyweight champ.
WINNER – Werdum
UFC 249 PICKS!
Pettis 8200 vs Cerrone 8000
This fight is pretty much a 50/50 for me. I have no idea who will win. Pettis can’t handle pressure and Cerrone lost against 3 of the best 155 pound fighters on the planet. You’re choice here .
WINNER – 50/50
Hardy 8500 vs De Castro 7600
This fight is kind of iffy for me. De Castro is a former Kickboxing world champion and is coming off a KO win vs Tafa. He has the power to finish fights but Hardy isn’t the type to get KOed. He showed toughness against Alexander Volkov who is a top heavyweight. He has the drive to win. I’m not to heavy on this fight but if I was to pick I would go De Castro because he has a better striking background than Hardy.
WINNER – De Castro
Kattar 8900 vs Stephens 7300
This will be Kattars first real test at someone with KO power. Stephens is on a 3 fight losing streak and Kattar is coming off a loss. Both fighters need a win but one more than the other. Kattar has smooth hands and can put together punches very smoothly. His only problem is defending leg kicks. Stephens has the power to put this fight away but he doesn’t fight at that high of a pace. I don’t know how well Kattar scores without a finish. Stephens hasn’t been finished since Jose Aldo but I believe Kattar can get the job done.
WINNER – Kattar
Ngannou 9100 vs Rozenstruik 7100
This is a battle between two KO artist. Both can KO each other in a flash . For Ngannou to meet value he has to get a first round KO. This fight will go ham or flop completely like Ngannou’s last fight against Derrick Lewis. If this fight makes it out of round one Rozenstruik could win but I’ve never seen Ngannou hurt. This fight is a 50/50 in my eyes.
WINNER – 50/50.
Cejudo 8800 vs Cruz 7400
This is a 5 round war that could score high. A stack wouldn’t be that bad. Cejudo has been evolving his striking game a lot lately and could keep up with Cruz. He is on a tear and momentum is everything. But Cruz is an Anomaly. Maybe the greatest Bantamweight ever. If he wins this fight he will be. I think Cejudo will bring the pressure but Cruz will match it. You could go either guy cause Cejudo has the heart and determination to win. But Cruz is a technically sound and smart fighter. I would call this is a 50/50 but I’m gong. Cruz because of his IQ and he provides a pretty bad matchup for Cejudo because of size. But size doesn’t matter.
WINNER – Cruz
Ferguson 8700 vs Gatheje 7500
This maybe fight of the year. Two badass fighters going head to head for the Gold . Anything could happen. Gatheje throws with power and intent to kill. Ferguson throws moderately but has good damage in his punches. Gatheje could honestly win this fight by KO. But Ferguson is a robot and is on a 12 fight win streak. I see him beating Gatheje down the stretch but that doesn’t mean I’ll be right. This fight will be a war and anything could happen but my gut is Tony Ferguson. Gatheje throws at a high volume but he eats too many punches. If this fight goes all 5 both fighters may score very very well. It’s your choice. You can pick one or stack it.
WINNER – Ferguson
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