Win Daily Stacks for 4/26

All in all, this is a great slate. There is a huge 15-gameron tap, so let’s dig in to my Top Four favorite stacks of the night.

1.) Minnesota Twins

This season Alex Cobb has been nothing short of completelydreadful. In a very small sample size of 8.1 innings, he is pitching to thetune of an 11.88 ERA with a .527 wOBA. I am all over the Twins in this spot.This will be a pretty expensive stack, but I love the combination of NelsonCruz ($4,700 on DraftKings), Eddie Rosario ($5,300), Max Kepler ($4,200) andWillians Astudillo ($4,200). Alex Cobb, as recently as the 2018 season, hasshown his struggles against righty power. In 2018 Cobb held a 1.70 HR/9 torighties and a 1.15 HR/9 to lefties. This very low strikeout rate going againsta team that just does not strike out is a recipe for disaster. There will bemany balls put in play. Although Cobb is a ground-ball pitcher, players like Cruzand Rosario, who are around 40% fly ball hitters for their career, will have noissue. Also, Cobb throws this terrible split finger 39% of the time to leftiesand Kepler eats those up to a tune of a .396 wOBA as well as a .226 ISO. I seea very real opportunity this gets ugly very quick and then the Twins get toattack this very, very ugly Baltimore bullpen. This is a complete smash spot asI do believe the team total will open at right around five runs, so the Twinswill most likely be pretty chalky tonight.

2.) Toronto BlueJays

Yes, the Toronto Blue Jays. Mike Fiers is a gas can and he’sgoing to get lit up in this one. Over Fiers’ career, no matter who he pitchedfor, once he gets out of his home stadium he is dreadful. Fiers’ ERA on theroad jumps over a full run and the righty power he gives up (1.58 HR/9) isterrible. The players I am all over in this one start with Randal Grichuk whois very cheap at $4,100. He absolutely is his best self when he is at homeversus a righty, and he faces an extreme fly ball hitter with over a 40% flyball rate. That mixes perfectly with Fiers’ extreme fly ball rate, a recipe forHR after HR. I’m going to stack the Blue Jays up with Grichuk ($4,100), TeoscarHernandez ($3,900), Eric Sogard ($3,800) and Justin Smoak ($4,700). Also, thebest play on this team, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. makes his Major League debut, so throwhim in there to round out this amazing five stack. I personally think you canpair the Blue Jays and Twins and win a ton of money on this slate. TheAthletics’ bullpen is solid, but they will drop five to seven runs on Fiers. 

3.) SeattleMariners 

I actually love both sides of this game, but the Mariners getthe slight edge. Shelby Miller is just terrible, he gets mashed by lefties,mashed by righties, mashed by everyone. This is a very  good tournament stack. The Texas bullpen suckseven more than Miller, so after they knock him out in three innings, they get avery overworked bullpen. Daniel Vogelbach is one of my favorite plays on theslate, as he has just been completely mashing the ball this season so far. Millerjust cannot get out left-handed hitters, as they are batting a career .269 witha .338 wOBA against him. Can you say terrible? I’m all in on Vogelbach intournaments, he is my favorite play. Stack up Vogelbach ($4,900) with TimBeckham ($4,000), Mitch Haniger ($5,600), and Domingo Santana ($4,800). I knowthis is an expensive stack, but this will garner low ownership and will helpyou take down a tournament tonight. 

4.) PhiladelphiaPhillies 

They have scuffled and scuffled and scuffled these lastcouple of days, but this is the day I see them breaking out. Jose Urena is nota strikeout guy (about a 6 K/9), and is a decently high walk guy (about a 3W/9) and this bodes well for the Phillies. They have been striking out at avery high rate these last few games, I think this is what they need to rightthe ship. I’ll take the usual suspects here, starting with Rhys Hoskins, whocompletely mashes right-handed pitching. He is a career .275 hitter at homeversus righties and the power is there as we all know. Urena is a sinker ballpitcher and Hoskins mashes sinker balls. Hoskins holds a .557 wOBA as well as a.514 ISO against the sinker, which Urena throws 47.50% to righties. He has veryreverse splits, as he hits righties better than he hits lefties. I’ll pair RhysHoskins ($5,300) with Maikel Franco ($4,500), Andrew McCutchen ($4,500) and J.T.Realmuto ($4,500). These Phillies are in for a huge game in these next few daysand I will gladly stack them every day until they break out. I can almost betthey drop at least five runs on Urena.