What’s up ladies and gentlemen? Welcome to Win Daily Sports Week 15 Value plays for 12.20. We are winding down for the regular season and most of us are close to wrapping up our playoff runs in seasonal. Oddly enough in a season where we had to stay next to our lineups like you would in the NBA, we don’t have a ton of options in what I would consider values per my definition. Guys like Russell Gage, Emmanuel Sanders, and Christian Kirk are guys that I would consider value, but they are a few hundred outside of my definition but I wanted you to know that they were options.
Typically I define “value plays” as players that fall within $1,000 dollars of minimum price for their given position. If may vary by one or two hundred week to week but most will fall in that range.
1. Tre’Quan Smith, WR, Saints $3,200 (DK)/$5,000(FD)
With the return of Drew Brees and Michael Thomas’s ankle issues putting him back on the IR, Smith becomes one of the best value wide receiver options that we have available on the slate. I know everyone is worried about Drew’s ribs but let me phrase it this way. The Saints have clinched playoff berth, they’re playing a non divisional opponent, Hill has performed well enough to win football games, and the ribs at this point are more about pain management than whether or not the fractures have healed.
Brees is an iron man and has played through multiple injuries and performed well. With Brees and absent Thomas Tre hung around 10 DK points every week with a ceiling game of 21.4 point against Detroit in week 4. While so many are scared to use Brees and plan to opt for Kamara I’ll have a couple of stacks with all three giving me plenty of salary to run it back with whoever I want from the Chiefs. I’ll have some Emmanuel Sanders as well but he falls outside of my definition of value player for the purpose of this article.
2. Dwayne Haskins QB, Washington $5,000(DK)/$6,500(FD)
It isn’t very often that a starting Quarterback will one, fall into the value category that I have defined and two, is in the kind of matchup that I think they can take advantage of. I’d be a bit nervous using him in a cash game scenario but stacking someone like him, JD McKissick, and Terry McLaurin will allow you a decent amount of flexibility in a GPP contest.
To be honest, my bigger concern here is how Seattle has struggled against teams with strong front sevens. Teams like the Giants and Rams got into Russell Wilson’s face so quickly and so often that not even he could escape and make something happen. Not saying Washington is good, but they have pieces so may get a little lucky and see some sneaky shootout potential here.
3. Cole Kmet, TE, Bears, $3,000 (DK)/$5,100(FD)
I would have been recommending Kmet regardless of whether or not Jimmy Graham had the Q tag put on him. He surpassed Jimmy weeks ago and has seen at least a 70% snap share in the last four weeks and saw his highest rate of 85% last week and he’s seen seven targets in each of the last two weeks. To have him priced at 3k feels down right disrespectful and if he had a competent QB I could see him around 4k. But it is what it is. If they want to give me value to fit King Henry and Kamara in all of my lineups than I’ll gladly take it.
4. Leonard Fournette, RB, Buccaneers, $4,500(DK)/$5,500(FD)
I shouldn’t need to explain this one. No RoJo and they are playing Atlanta. Chalk city.
Also Consider: Greg Ward, Peyton Barber, Ke’Shawn Vaughn, Michael Gallup
Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports NFL Value Plays For 12.20 Main Slate. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!