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We are finally here ladies and gentlemen! Game one of the NBA finals and boy has it been a grind. We have had a few ugly ones to get here but to be completely honest I am glad to see two teams that we have not seen in ages in the finals. Now let us all cross our fingers from a fan standpoint and hope that Giannis will get to see the court sooner rather than later so that we can have a competitive series. He is already listed doubtful so let us break down the best options with that knowledge.
Win Daily Sports NBA Finals Game 1 Breakdown 7.6
Deandre Ayton, Suns, $8,400 :
This will likely be a very chalky play but with Giannis being doubtful Ayton is my favorite captain play this evening. The Bucks team rebounding has dropped from 48.2 to 45.3 without Giannis on the court and that was without the Hawks doing anything to take advantage. Ayton is better than Capela or Collins in that facet while exceeding double-digit boards in seven of ten games while averaging 16.4 points. CP3 and the Suns are not going to let this advantage go unaccounted for.
Chris Paul, Suns, $9,800:
Speaking of Chris Paul he is someone that I will always pair with Ayton to double dip with the correlation. I don’t expect that massive 67.5 DK point performance as we had in game five against the Clipper but the man has been unstoppable in his last four games sporting a usage rate of 30% while averaging 24 points and 9 assists in his last ten games. He isn’t going 7-8 from three point range again but the Bucks are still a terrible team defending from beyond the arc so expect him to take plenty of 3’s.
Kris Middleton ($10,400)/ Jrue Holiday ($9,200), Bucks:
Until Greek Freak returns these two go up together due to the 10% usage rate bump for both and they have both paid off their salary in that regard. If I had to use one only I would go with Jrue based on Ayton being under the glass which I think will ever so slightly reduce the two to three extra boards Khris has been collecting lately.
Cameron Johnson, Suns ,$2,800:
You’ll need some cheap value and Cameron Johnson is staring you right in the face in terms of price and our projection model. He has a clean bill of health and typically sees mid 20’s minutes and can shoot from three where we know the Bucks struggle as well as scoop a few boards when the opportunity is there. In his last five games, he has gone for at least 11 points and four boards in four of those contests. In a series where the rotations will be extremely tight that sort of production from a player priced under 3K has to be considered heavily in your builds.
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Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports NBA Finals Game 1 Breakdown 7.6 Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord Chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!