Josh Barzal 
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Tonight’s Thursday night match up brings us to Minnesota with a matchup between a Steelers (6-5-1) team riding high off the momentum of a last second victory vs. the Ravens and a Vikings (5-7) team that may get their star running back tonight. The season has not gone to plans for either team as the Steelers sit in third behind the Ravens and Bengals while the Vikings are riding a 2 game losing streak and are 2 games under .500. I’m going to be highlighting some of my favorite Monkey Knife Fight plays for the night.
More or Less – 3.6x Payout
Kirk Cousins – 255.5 Passing Yards – More
Kirk Cousins should easily get to this target tonight. Over the last 4 weeks he’s hit this number 3 times and those 3 times he hit the number pretty convincingly. Even though one of Cousins’ top pass catchers will be out for the game, he should be able to do enough with Justin Jefferson and the likes of Osborn and Westbrook to get over the 255 yard passing mark.
The Steelers can be a tough against QB’s but last week they showed they can still give up some passing yards as Lamar Jackson had over 250 yards passing. If Jackson can get to this secondary, I have no doubt that Cousins can too. I’m going with the More side of this one.
Ben Roethlisberger – 245.5 Passing Yards – More
Big Ben should get to his target as well. Jared Goff torched this secondary for nearly 300 yards and 3 touchdowns last week. That’s really all you need to know to get an idea where my head is at with this prop. While Big Ben is no longer the QB he used to be, he can still sling it downfield and is still on pace to have his 13thseason with at least 3,000 yards passing.
If we look at his most recent games he’s hit this target in 3 out of the last 5 games. In the two games that he didn’t, one was against a solid Ravens defense and the other was in a game against the Bears where he still had a 111 QB rating. Steelers are in must win mode and in order to do that they’ll need Big Ben and Diontae Johnson to connect early and often. Like Cousins, I’m going with the More side of this one too.
Rapid Fire – 3x Payout
Kirk Cousins vs. Ben Roethlisberger (+10.5 yards)
I’ve highlighted in the More or Less section that both QB’s should hit their number tonight. In what should be a close game tonight I’m going to go with Big Ben here. The slight edge I’m giving to Roethlisberger is due to the Vikings secondary giving up a bit more yardage of late to QB’s and he’s also getting the extra 10.5 yards tonight. Those extra yards are going to be key to getting him over the hump and beating out Cousins. Big Ben for me here.
Justin Jefferson vs. Diontae Johnson (+15.5 yards)
I love Justin Jefferson, but not having his counterpart in Thielen tonight is really going to hurt him. The Steelers should be able to throw some extra coverage on Jefferson tonight because the duo of Osborn and Westbrook are nowhere near in the same class of Thielen.
With Diontae Johnson we’re getting someone who’s on a solid stretch of football right now. Over his last 6 games he’s had at least 80 yards receiving 5 times and has hit 100 yards in 2 of his last 3. The one game he didn’t get to 100 he still ended up with 95 yards. The extra 15.5 yards he’s getting tonight will be key to him outperforming Jefferson. Diontae Johnson for the win tonight.
Good luck tonight and hope you cash!
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