Joel Bartilotta 
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Today I’ll be highlighting one of my favorite contests on MKF, the Home Run Blast. Every Friday night MKF runs a special contest where if you play in a $5+ Home Run Blast contest and all 3 of your batters hit a home run you get a share of the jackpot. Tonight’s jackpot is $25,000!
With that said, lets dig in and see where we can find some long balls!
Home Run Blast
Jorge Soler vs. Keegan Akin
My first pick brings us to Camden Yards. We have Keegan Akin on the hill for the Orioles and it’s been a struggle for him this season. Over the last 30 days it’s been even worse as he has a 6.73 xFIP and is giving up a 50% fly ball rate.
Fly balls in the summer in Camden are not a good combo. The guy that I’m going to attack Akin with is Jorge Soler. Over the last 30 days Soler has been crushing lefties. He has a .619 ISO and .468 wOBA. Those are just insane numbers.
If we look at pitch data Soler should see a ton of fastballs this year. On the year he’s crushing them. He has a .500 slugging % and 53% hard hit rate against fastballs. Look for him to drop one into the left field stand later tonight. Confidence Level – High
Teoscar Hernandez vs. Tyler Alexander
Whether it’s dfs or MKF Alexander is a favorite of mine to pick on. He’s just someone that gives up a ton of hard contact and fly balls. Those are 2 things I look at the most when looking for home runs. He checks off all the boxes.
Over the past month he’s been getting tagged for a 48% fly ball rate and 49% hard hit rate. Just really poor performance from Alexander. We want to attack Alexander with righties and the guy I will use tonight is Hernandez.
He has a .737 ISO against lefties over the past month with a .718 wOBA. His average exit velocity is almost 100 mph with a distance of around 380 feet. Hernandez is crushing lefties and he should continue the trend tonight. Confidence Level – High
Avisail Garcia vs. Patrick Corbin
Corbin is another one of my favorite targets. In his last 28 innings of work he’s given up 10 homers. Giving up a homer at that pace is really an accomplishment that speaks for itself. Corbin has very clear splits.
He’s dominant against lefties with a .042 ISO. Against righties it’s a whole different story. Righties have a .391 wOBA and .385 ISO against him. Garcia is my target here. He’s been crushing lefties over the last month and he also homered twice Wednesday night. He’s dialed in. Over the past month he has a .528 wOBA against lefties. No reason to think that Corbin will slow him down. Confidence Level – High
Home Run Blast Wrap Up
Tonight my pool will consist of these 3 batters I just mentioned, but know that the environment for their teammates is just as good. Righties vs. Akin, righties vs. Alexander, and righties vs. Corbin.
Good luck and hope to share the jackpot with you!
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