Joel Bartilotta 
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Today I’ll be highlighting one of my favorite contests on MKF, the Home Run Blast. Every Friday night MKF runs a special contest where if you play in a $5+ Home Run Blast contest and all 3 of your batters hit a home run you get a share of the jackpot. Tonight’s jackpot is $25,000!
With that said, lets dig in and see where we can find some long balls!
Home Run Blast
Brandon Lowe/Austin Meadows vs. Michael Pineda
Pineda is someone that has very clear splits. Against righties he’s really able to limit power because he induces a whole lot of ground balls. Against lefties it’s a whole different story. His fly ball rate and hard hit rate both jump to 42%. Lefties have a .243 ISO and .336 wOBA against him this year. Tonight he’s going to have his hands full with a lineup full of lefties.
There are two guys on the Rays that should go yard tonight, Brandon Lowe and Austin Meadows. If we look at pitch mix both of these guys are going to see a heavy amount of low 90’s fastballs. Let’s start with Austin Meadows. He has a near .700 ISO against this pitch from righties over the past few years. Lowe, while not as exaggerated as Meadows, has a .250 ISO with an average distance of 322 feet. Both guys stand a great chance to hit a long one tonight. Confidence Level – High
Jose Ramirez/Franmil Reyes vs. Tyler Alexander
My next targets bring us to Detroit with the Cleveland Indians facing off against Tyler Alexander. Alexander is another guy that has very clear splits. He’s actually pretty dominant against lefties with just a .241 wOBA against them this year.
Righties are a whole different story. Batters from the right side have a .354 wOBA and .214 ISO against him this year. They hit the ball significantly harder against him. Alexander’s pitch of choice to righties is his cutter. This is a pitch that Ramirez absolutely destroys from lefties.
Over the last few years Ramirez has a .424 ISO with an average distance of 337 feet to this pitch type. Reyes is no slouch against this pitch either. He has an average exit velocity of 96 mph and an average distance of 311 feet. Confidence Level – High
Bryce Harper vs. Tyler Mahle
It’s going to be hot in Philly tonight. When it’s hot in Citizens the ball go far. And the ball it will be traveling far tonight off the bat of Bryce Harper. On the year Harper has a .345 ISO and .439 wOBA against righties. He’s making an extremely strong case for MVP and if I had to guess, he’s the front runner right now.
He’s going to be seeing a mid 90’s fastball from Mahle tonight and it’s a pitch he should not have any issues with. He owns a .333 ISO and .463 wOBA against this type of pitcher over the least several years. While Mahle isn’t a bad pitcher he is prone to the home run ball with 6 in his last 28 innings of work. Tonight, Harper will make it 7 as he adds to Mahle’s monthly total. Confidence Level – Highish
Home Run Blast Wrap Up
Tonight my pool will consist of the 5 batters I just mentioned, with Ramirez, Meadows, and Harper my favorite of the bunch.
Good luck and hope to share the jackpot with you!
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