Joel Bartilotta 
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Today I’ll be highlighting one of my favorite contests on MKF, the Home Run Blast. Every Friday night MKF runs a special contest where if you play in a $5+ Home Run Blast contest and all 3 of your batters hit a home run you get share of the jackpot. Tonight’s jackpot is $5,000.
With that said, lets dig in and see where we can find some long balls!
Home Run Blast
Pete Alonso vs. Steven Matz
Steven Matz makes his return to Citi Field tonight after being traded over the winter. My guess is it’s a short outing for Mr. Matz as the match-up tonight is not an easy one. Matz is someone that has been very home run prone this season. He only has a handful of starts where he hasn’t given one up.
I’m going to be attacking Matz tonight in both my DFS lineups and my Home Run Blast contests with right handed bats. He gives up way more fly balls to righties and significantly more hard contact.
The guy I’m going to do it with is the Polar Bear himself, Pete Alonso. If we look at pitch mix Matz is going to throw his sinker more than 45% of the time.
This is a pitch that Alonso has historically excelled against. In his brief career he has a .833 ISO with an average distance of 353 feet. Bombs away for Alonso tonight. Confidence Level – High
Eric Haase vs. Kris Bubic
Bubic is slowly becoming one of my favorite pitchers to pick on. Bubic has been giving up a ton of power this year with high ISO’s to both sides of the plate. I’m going to side with a power righty from the Tigers though and that guy is Eric Haase.
For the first time in his brief career Haase has become a full time player. On the year he’s already crushed 15 homers. I’m picking him tonight due to his numbers against lefties this year. He has an insane .500 ISO in 60 plate appearances with a .498 wOBA.
Diving into pitch data he’s going to see a steady stream of low 90’s fastballs tonight. It’s a pitch he tees off when it comes from lefties. He has a .500 ISO against it with an average distance of 317 feet. Confidence Level – Highish
Justin Upton vs. J.A. Happ
Happ is one of my favorite targets when it comes to opposing hitters. When I target him, I almost always do with batters from the right hand side. This year he’s given up a 44% fly ball rate and a 42% hard hit rate against righties. This has added to him giving up a .274 ISO and a .379 wOBA to guys from the right side of the plate.
I’m targeting him tonight with a guy who has a long history against south paws. Over the last several seasons Upton has a .269 ISO against lefties. He’s someone that hits for a ton of power against them. He should have no problem with the low 90’s fastball coming from Happ. Confidence Level – Medium/High
Home Run Blast Wrap Up
The three guys I’m picking on tonight are some of favorite targets when playing fantasy and are guys that give up homers often. While I’m picking Alonso against Matz, I also think that JD Davis and James McCann are also primed for big nights.
Good luck and hope to share the jackpot with you!
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