Antonio D'Arcangelis 
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Thursday night football brings us to sunny Miami for a match up between my hometown Baltimore Ravens (6-2) and the Miami Dolphins (2-7). Both of these teams are on opposite ends of the spectrum in terms of the standings as the Ravens are currently in first in the AFC North while the Dolphins are in dead last in the AFC East. Yes, even behind the New York Jets. The Dolphins will more than likely be without their starter in Tua Tagovailoa but as we’ve seen this season, Jacoby Brissett has been able to fill in admirably. Well sometimes.
With that said, lets dig in!
More or Less
Lamar Jackson – 235.5 Passing Yards – More
While I expect the Ravens to get up early and stay up, this game has the makings of a celling type game for Lamar Jackson. Jackson grew up less than an hour from Miami and will surely be extra motivated in what should be a ton of family and friends.
His main counterpart, Marquise Brown, is also a South Florida native who grew up about 30 minutes from Miami. I anticipate Jackson going to Brown early and often in this one. Jackson has had only 2 games this season where he’s had less than 236 yards passing, with one of those games being right at 235. Look for Jackson to have a monster game tonight.
Jacoby Brissett – 230.5 Passing Yards – Less
The Ravens are a touchdown favorite tonight on the road and if the game script goes to plan, they’ll be up early in this game. In theory that would mean Brissett will be throwing often in this one. Although the Ravens defense has looked suspect at times this year, they looked solid last week against the Vikings. Cousins ended up with less than 200 yards passing. I just don’t see Brissett being able to solve this defense tonight.
Rapid Fire
Lamar Jackson vs. Jacoby Brissett (+5.5)
I’ve already highlighted above that I think that Brissett struggles tonight against a defense that played much better last week. Jackson will be extra motivated tonight playing in a city that he was close to growing up. I’m picking Lamar Jackson here, even with the extra 5.5 yards Brissett would get.
Myles Gaskin vs. Devonta Freeman (+2.5)
With my expectation that Brissett struggles tonight, I expect that the Dolphins will run and find some success doing it. In 4 out of the last 5 weeks the Ravens have given up more than 100 yards rushing. While Gaskin hasn’t really had much success on the ground this season, the Ravens haven’t proven they can stop anyone on the ground.
If we look on the other side of the game we have a running back that nearly doubled his season output in rushing yards last weekend in Freeman. He’s been a part time back for the majority of the year. The Dolphins have progressively gotten better against the run over the course of the season. To start the year they gave up over 100 yards rushing in weeks 1-5. Since then, they haven’t given up more than 75 yards rushing in a game. If the Ravens have success on the ground tonight it will be from Lamar Jackson and not Devonta Freeman. I’m picking Myles Gaskin in this one.
Summary
This should be a fun game tonight. Lamar Jackson has been his best in prime time this season. Look for him to have one of his monster games in the air and on the ground tonight.
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