The PGA Tour travels to the opposite coast this week for the first of four Florida events. We have an interesting twist as this is the first time the Concession course will be played on the PGA Tour, and therefore, we have no course history to utilize (other than a few in this field who played this course in the NCAA championship 6 years ago). We will focus on the typical SG metrics and recent form and we will perhaps take a few more chances than normal at this no-cut event. Stay tuned for much more content from the Win Daily team, including our Win Daily Sports PGA Livestream tonight at 8:00 EST. Now let’s get to the Initial Picks for the WGC-Workday Championship.
Jon Rahm (11100) – He was excellent last week and really made a charge on Sunday but wasn’t enough to catch the leaders. One of the best in the world T2G and in good form.
Xander Shaufffele (10800) – I’m hoping ownership is down on Xander as a result of his underwhelming finish at Riviera and associated lack of coverage. His 15th place finish was mostly a result of being bad OTT on Thursday and bad with the putter on Sunday. Other than that, the ball striking and game was great and Xander is very close to winning a tournament.
Bryson DeChambeau (9900) – Bryson had some rust on Thursday at Riviera, but he rounded into form on Friday. He was atrocious with the putter on Friday losing almost 3 strokes, but he was best in the field T2G that very same day. I see the putter regressing to the mean and I’m hoping the T2G stays true.
Tyrrell Hatton (9600) – He’s simply a great golfer. We haven’t seen him on the PGA Tour this year, but he’s been racking up solid finishes overseas (6th at The Saudi International, 22nd at Omega Dubai Desert Classic and 1st at Abu Dhabi). Great with the irons and the all-around game is there.
Viktor Hovland (9400) – Don’t be shocked if this guy is considered one of the best in the world at some point within the next couple of years. His ball striking is impeccable and his short game continues to improve and this is great value at this price.
Joaquin Niemann (8100) – We are looking for upside, particularly in no-cut events, and Niemann flashed that upside for the first two rounds at Riviera and has also flashed it this year with 2nd place finishes at the Sony and the Sentry. Don’t worry about his blow up round of a 78 last Saturday as that’s going to happen in brutal wind conditions to the best of golfers.
Will Zalatoris (8000) – This is a very good price for a great ball striker who has been consistently finishing well in stacked fields. This week he doesn’t need to worry about lack of course history/experience because almost nobody in this field has played here.
Ryan Palmer (7200) – Another misprice for Mr. Palmer that you probably need to take advantage of. Palmer’s betting odds are 55 to 1, which is shorter than almost everyone in the 8k range. What does that mean? It means the sportsbooks value him as a golfer in the upper 8k class. Grab the value.
Abraham Ancer (6800) – Missed cut last week but keep in mind he had zero prep time as he was stuck in Texas. Ancer’s recent form is pretty solid with the exception of a bad round here or there. The one bad round won’t hurt him too much in this no-cut event and he has enough upside to justify at this price.
Rasmus Hojgaard (6700) – Probably will be a nice pivot off of some of the other more popular European golfers in this range. Hojgaard has been very solid lately with 6th, 9th and 25th place finish in his last three tournaments overseas. He’s also flashed the ability to go low (final round of Saudi International he shot a 62).
Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – stay tuned to Discord.
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