Week 8 DFS QB Picks gives us some odd names to consider in a week of odd matchups. The main slate of games means we are denied Redskins-Vikings (Thursday night), Packers-Chiefs (Sunday night) and the epic Ryan Fitzpatrick v. Mason Rudolph clash (Dolphins-Steelers) on Monday night.
The bye week means no Lamar Jackson (Ravens) nor Dak Prescott (Cowboys)
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Week 8 DFS QB Picks – Cash Game Passers
1) Russell Wilson, SEA @ ATL
DK ($7,200), FD ($8,600)
Yes, he’s expensive, but he’s second only to Deshaun Watson in Fantasy points per game at DraftKings (25.4) and gets the delicious matchup against a Falcons defense that allows the most Fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks. In a dome, no less.
Wilson is fifth in both average depth per target (9.6) and air yards per pass completion (7.8 yards). Keep in mind the Falcons have the fifth-worst Fantasy defense against opposing receivers, giving up a 77.7% completion rate and 1.4 TDs per game. This is one case where the high investment reaps monster returns.
2) Teddy Bridgewater, NO vs. ARI
DK ($5,900), FD ($7,500)
The question hovering over Bridgewater is whether the Saints activate Drew Brees in time for this start. If not, I love the prospects of Bridgewater putting up numbers beyond his game management-like totals, although 281 yards and two scores on the road against the Bears isn’t exactly Bob Griese’s Super Bowl totals.
Bridgewater isn’t known for his running skills, but this might be the week he offers the added bonus of a rushing TD. Not only are the Cardinals the fourth-worst defense against opposing quarterbacks, they also help/hurt their cause by allowing 27.9 yards per game on the ground to passers. Brees is returning sooner or later, but I’m thinking it won’t be Week 8, so run with Bridgewater.
3) Josh Allen, BUF vs. PHI
DK ($6,500), FD ($7,700)
It’s Allen’s turn to pad his Fantasy numbers against the Eagles, who have played a lot worse than the ranking of 21st they currently own against opposing quarterbacks. Philly is giving up 287.9 yards and two touchdowns per game, numbers that would be higher if you took away the gimme that was the Jets. That the Eagles also have the worst Fantasy defense against the opposition’s wide receivers all but makes Allen and John Brown a dreamy pair in Week 8.
The Eagles did allow a rushing touchdown to Dak Prescott on Sunday night, which only enhances Allen’s upside. My bet is there’s a season-high coming with Allen, who should easily eclipse his current season-best of 254 yards passing.
4) Deshaun Watson, HOU vs. OAK
DK ($7,100), FD ($8,400)
Similar to Wilson in that he’s going to be costly, Watson is also in a can’t avoid matchup at home taking on a Raiders defense that gave up five touchdown passes to Aaron Rodgers in Week 7. Rodgers also scored a rushing touchdown, something that’s right down Watson’s alley, as he remains on pace to account for double-digit rushing scores.
Oakland is the third-worst defense when it comes to slowing down opposing QBs. Although Watson’s home/road splits are more road friendly, I’ll take him at NRG Stadium. He’s sixth in pass yards after the catch (890), a total that could be hampered by the loss of WR Will Fuller.
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Week 8 DFS QB Picks – GPP Passers
1) Matthew Stafford, DET vs. NYG
DK ($6,100), FD ($7,700)
Stafford is third in the league with average depth of target of 10.3, one of only three QBs (Jameis Winston, Ryan Fitzpatrick) over 10 yards per ADOT. The Giants are a modest 19th in Fantasy points per game allowed to opposing passers, but with RB Kerryon Johnson likely to miss this game, count on Stafford to approach 35-40 attempts.
2) Jared Goff, LAR vs. CIN
DK ($6,800), FD ($8,000)
We are born-again believers of Goff, who will get another favorable matchup versus a Bengals team that is ninth-worst against opposing quarterbacks. To their credit, the Bengals give up just 1.3 TD passes per game but their 50.3 rushing yards allowed to opposing quarterbacks drag their overall numbers down. Goff is one of two QBs who have been blitzed at least 100 times (oddly enough, he’ll be facing Andy Dalton, who happens to be the other QB).
3) Tom Brady, NE vs. CLE
DK ($6,600), FD ($7,900)
In a Sentence: Fifth with 1,122 air yards, those numbers will go higher the addition of WR Mohamed Sanu.
4) Derek Carr, OAK @ HOU
DK ($5,000), FD ($6,900)
In a Sentence: Season-best 10.1 yards per attempt last week, Carr should equal — if not exceed — against the Texans, who have the fifth-worst Fantasy defense against QBs.
5) Carson Wentz, PHI @ BUF
DK ($5,600), FD ($7,400)
In a Sentence: Now sixth in air yards per pass completion, Wentz will likely find himself in catch-up mode, so watch the numbers pile up in vain.
6) Kyler Murray, ARI @ NO
DK ($6,200), FD ($7,400)
In a Sentence: Boom-bust play, yet I like the chances of boom if WR Christian Kirk is healthy and able to stretch a Saints D ranked 20th in Fantasy points per game allowed to opposing passers.
7) Gardner Minshew II, JAX vs. NYJ
DK ($5,500), FD ($6,900)
In a Sentence: His two best Fantasy games this season have come when he’s averaged better than eight yards per attempt.
8) Philip Rivers, LAC @ CHI
DK ($5,300), FD ($7,300)
In a Sentence: Has averaged at least 23.62 FanDuel points in each of his previous three road games.
9) Jacoby Brissett, IND vs. DEN
DK ($5,600), FD ($7,500)
In a Sentence: Three straight games of at least 23.65 FanDuel points at home.
10) Andy Dalton, CIN @ LAR
DK ($5,000), FD ($6,900)
In a Sentence: Squirt gun production from the running game means Dalton will continue his stretch of at least 36 pass attempts, which happens to be his low water mark for 2019.
Week 7 DFS QB Picks – Punt & Value Passers
1) Ryan Tannehill, TEN vs. TB
DK ($5,400), FD ($6,900)
In a Sentence: Buccaneers allow 318.5 passing yards per game, and Tannehill did make the Titans receivers look good in the win over the Chargers…
2) Daniel Jones, NYG @ DET
DK ($5,800), FD ($7,000)
In a Sentence: I’ll buy into the fact he’ll produce due to RB Saquon Barkley and TE Evan Engram being a week healthier.
3) Jameis Winston, TB @ TEN
DK ($5,900), FD ($7,400)
In a Sentence: Turnovers aside (it was one bad game), Winston has averaged at least seven yards per attempt in each of his last five games.
4) Kyle Allen, CAR @ SF
DK ($5,200), FD ($7,000)
In a Sentence: Has yet to throw an INT, but the 224.5 passing yards per game will have to eventually come up to keep Cam Newton at bay.
5) Jimmy Garoppolo, SF vs. CAR
DK ($5,700), FD ($7,400)
In a Sentence: One game of better than 20 Fantasy points this season.
