Week 12 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown: Seahawks at Washington

The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 12 NFL DFS contests!

NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 12 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Week 12 NFL DFS Chalk: Russell Wilson (FD $15,500, DK $16,500)

Pivot: Taylor Heinicke (FD $14,500, DK $14,700)

Contrarian #1: DK Metcalf (FD $13,500, DK $13,200)

Contrarian #2: Terry McLaurin (FD $14,000, DK $15,900)

Contrarian #3: Antonio Gibson (FD $12,000, DK $12,900)

Contrarian #3: Tyler Lockett (FD $12,500, DK $15,300)

Russell Wilson and Taylor Heinicke are pretty much neck-and-neck for the chalk, but I think Wilson will end up being the more popular choice by gametime. Still – the way to get different is to play a WR/RB or even TE Logan Thomas, who’s returning from IR and should be active, albeit on a limited snap count. If the game is close and his hamstring is holding up, I could see him getting a few more looks than normal on crucial drives.

Seahawks notes: DK Metcalf still has as much upside of just about any WR in the the game excluding Davante Adams and Tyreek Hill, so I prefer him over Tyler Lockett, but the rest of the Seahawks offense could see showdown-relevant performances from just about anyone, including both Alex Collins and DeeJay Dallas and TE Gerald Everett. Dallas is relatively cheap, and he’s assuming the passing down role with Travis Homer out this week. Don’t forget about Freddie Swain, who’s been quiet lately but is on the field for over a third of the offensive snaps, including some opportunities in the red zone. Both the Seahawks DST and kicker Jason Myers are in play as well, especially with some of the sloppy prime time football we’ve bene seeing lately.

Washington notes: It’s primarily going to be Heinicke, Terry McLaurin and Antonio Gibson in most builds, though the J.D. McKissic/Thomas combo could bear fruit in the two-minute drill if the WFT needs a quick score or gets into garbage time in a Seahawks-dominant game script. Curtis Samuel could make an impact even on a pitch count, and the fringe WRs for Washington, including DeAndre Carter and Cam Sims, have been used a lot in the red zone, but seem overpriced based on the return of Samuel and Thomas. The Washington DST is far from full strength without Chase Young, but it’s still a unit capable of forcing turnovers, getting sacks and making big plays.

Week 12 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together.

DON’T: Be afraid to take some risks with the Seattle running game. It’s a timeshare and DeeJay Dallas is capable of playing well.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Worry about spending every dollar.

Now that we’ve established some Week 12 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

1. Russell Wilson
2. Taylor Heinicke
3. DK Metcalf
4. Terry McLaurin
5. Antonio Gibson
6. Tyler Lockett
7. J.D. McKissic
8. Alex Collins
9. DeeJay Dallas
10. Logan Thomas
11. Curtis Samuel
12. Gerald Everett
13. Seahawks DST
14. DeAndre Carter
15. Washington DST
16. Joey Slye
17. Jason Myers
18. Cam Sims
19. Freddie Swain
20. John Bates
21. Will Dissly
22. Adam Humphries (questionable)

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for next week’s action!